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Opponent Offense Preview: Oregon Ducks, Part Two

What’s changed since the Huskies first played the Ducks?

Oregon State v Oregon Photo by Tom Hauck/Getty Images

For some context, here is the preview I wrote prior to Washington’s game against Oregon on October 14th.

Post Washington: Oregon’s Dominant Offense

From a personnel and scheme perspective, not much has changed. In Oregon’s first five FBS games of the season, including the UW game, they averaged 42 points per game, and oddly enough have averaged exactly 42 points per game in their six matchups since then. This has been against a harder schedule, however - the likes of Hawaii, Stanford, and Colorado have been replaced with teams like Utah and Oregon State. In those six games, Oregon has had margins of victory of 14, 29, 44, 9, 36 and 24 points. The Huskies also beat those same six teams (WSU, Utah, Cal, USC, ASU, OSU), but managed a double digit victory in just two of them. Oregon is simply eviscerating their competition.

QB Bo Nix was sacked just four times in the first part of the season (including one in the UW game), and in the six games since losing to Washington, he incredibly has been sacked just once. His completion percentage has pretty much remained the same, but has eclipsed 82% in his past two starts against Arizona State and Oregon State.

Oregon State v Oregon Photo by Brandon Sloter/Image Of Sport/Getty Images

His TD:INT ratio is a whopping 20:1 since the UW game. Most impressively, his YPA has shot up since the Washington loss, from 8.4 to 11.05. Average depth of target was 6.38 yards against FBS opponents through the Washington game, and in six games since is 7.6 yards. The Oregon offense still utilizes a lot of sideways and short passes, but they are testing teams deeper more frequently, and hitting on those passes.

The eye test says Oregon has been operating at a higher level, and the stats bear that out. Nix has been making every right decision - PFF shows just one turnover worthy play in his last six games. His PFF offense grade has been over 90 in three of his past four games, while never getting higher than 89 in his first five games against FBS teams. He’s currently the betting favorite to win the Heisman Trophy.

I haven’t mentioned any other players on the offense, but rest assured RBs Bucky Irving and Jordan James, as well as WRs Troy Franklin and Tez Johnson have been feasting. Franklin has had three straight 120+ yard games, and Johnson has had 120+ in three of his past four. Irving and James have both been very good, but the pass attack and Nix’s stellar play has been propelling this offense to incredible heights.

It’s been a while since I included a poll, so here’s one:

Poll

How many points will Oregon score against UW on Friday night?

This poll is closed

  • 2%
    0-7
    (12 votes)
  • 0%
    8-14
    (3 votes)
  • 3%
    15-21
    (14 votes)
  • 13%
    22-28
    (57 votes)
  • 39%
    29-35
    (166 votes)
  • 29%
    36-42
    (122 votes)
  • 10%
    43 or more
    (45 votes)
419 votes total Vote Now