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The United States is inching closer to a world where sports gambling is completely legal. While Washington State is still at the back of the last boxcar on that particular train, it doesn’t mean we can’t think about all the ways we might be able to bet on the Huskies. Sure, there are the conventional methods of college sports gambling. Like futures (Huskies are down to 15/1 to win the national title), or Heisman voting (Browning is 35/1), or traditional O/U player props (Gaskin’s totals are 1400.5 yards and 18.5 TDs). But we want to get screwy—like, Super Bowl prop bet screwy. So here is my stab at creating some good custom bets for the true Husky degenerate gambler.
Last year I asked everyone to put in the comments how’d they distribute their $100 to optimize their winnings. Since there were no consequences, people just put $100 on the biggest longshot on the board to win. So this year I am saying that in order to qualify, you must place at least $20 on three separate props in order to be declared the winner at the end of the year.
A refresher on betting terminology: a winner at -200 means that you would need to bet $200 to win an extra $100. So betting $200 on it leaves you with a total of $300 (you get back the $200 plus win an additional $100). A winner at 5/1 (same as +500) betting $100 means you win $500. You end up with a total of $600 (the $100 you bet plus win an additional $500).
Poll
Prop #1- How many true freshmen will burn their redshirt in 2018?
This poll is closed
-
56%
Over 3.5 (-150)
(214 votes) -
43%
Under 3.5 (+130)
(165 votes)
This one is tricky this season because of the new rule that allows players to appear in 4 games without using up an official season. Last season there were 6 if you counted punter Joel Whitford who came in as a sophomore (which I did). Now there is the new redshirt rule but the Huskies are also bringing in one of their most talented recruiting classes ever. Some candidates to play 5+ games depending on how things go with injuries include: WR Marquis Spiker, WR Austin Osborne, TE Devin Culp, DT Sam Taimani, DT Tuli Letuligasenoa, DB Kyler Gordon, and DB Julius Irvin.
Poll
Prop #2- Who will have more rushing TDs in 2018: Myles Gaskin or all other Huskies combined?
This poll is closed
-
73%
Myles Gaskin (-140)
(287 votes) -
26%
All Others (+120)
(105 votes)
Gaskin was exceptionally good scoring inside the red zone last season and the Huskies didn’t have a go-to goal line receiver. That was part of why Browning saw his touchdown total drop by an astounding 24 between 2016 and 2017. In 2016 Gaskin had 10 rushing TDs while the rest of the team had 14 combined. Last season it was 21 for Gaskin and 16 for the rest of the team (Browning with 7, Coleman 4, Ahmed 3, McGrew 2). The Huskies have lost Coleman but bring everyone else back.
Poll
Prop #3- Which will be greater: Husky turnovers forced or Husky passing/receiving TDs?
This poll is closed
-
22%
Turnovers forced (EVEN)
(86 votes) -
77%
Passing/receiving TDs (EVEN)
(290 votes)
Last season Washington forced 24 turnovers and threw 19 passing TDs. Both were higher the year before as Washington threw for 47 touchdowns but led the country with 33 turnovers forced. There’s a good chance the Huskies improve on both totals from a year ago but will it happen by enough so that the passing TDs surpass the turnovers?
Poll
Prop #4- Who will score the longest Husky offensive touchdown?
This poll is closed
-
12%
Chico McClatcher (EVEN)
(50 votes) -
51%
Salvon Ahmed (+150)
(202 votes) -
18%
Myles Gaskin (+300)
(73 votes) -
4%
Aaron Fuller (+500)
(19 votes) -
12%
The Field (+600)
(47 votes)
Last season Myles Gaskin won this award, although surprisingly it was on a 76-yard reception rather than on a run. The year before Chico McClatcher won the honor despite the presence of John Ross. And yet Salvon Ahmed might be a better home run threat than either of them. Dante Pettis was the only other Husky to eclipse the 70-yard barrier last season but obviously he’s gone this season. We’ll see if another Husky receiver emerges as a deep threat.
Poll
Prop #5- How many wins will the Huskies have during the entire 2018 season (includes bowl games after 1/1/19)?
This poll is closed
-
14%
15 (20/1)
(55 votes) -
24%
14 (10/1)
(94 votes) -
30%
13 (5/1)
(117 votes) -
18%
12 (EVEN)
(71 votes) -
9%
11 (EVEN)
(36 votes) -
3%
10 (5/1)
(12 votes) -
0%
9 (10/1)
(2 votes) -
0%
Under 9 (20/1)
(2 votes)
Here it is, folks. Over/Under win total bets are for suckers (it’s officially 10.5 but that doesn’t include anything past the regular season). We want exact win total bets. The Huskies will play at least 12 games. Making any bowl game bumps it up to 13. Making the Pac-12 title game bumps it to 14. And making the College Football Playoff and winning a semi-final brings it to 15. Just for context, Football Outsiders simulations suggest a 10.1-win regular season, which would include two extra games with the Pac-12 title plus the bowl. How optimistic are you feeling, Dawg fans?
My Final Bets:
$30 on Myles Gaskin to score the longest offensive TD (to win $90)
$20 on All Others to have more rushing TDs (to win $24)
$20 on more Passing TDs (to win $20)
$20 on Washington to burn under 3.5 redshirts (to win $26)
$10 on Washington to win 13 games (to win $50)