Corvallis, OR - The Huskies (4-6, 2-5) head down to the state Oregon to play a beleaguered Oregon State (2-8, 0-7) team that is struggling to get a conference win, and struggling to stay healthy. In order to get to the magical 6th win, the Huskies need to stay focused this week, and come away with a W. Otherwise, well I don't even want to imagine that happening.
Where: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, Oregon
When: Saturday, November 21, 2015
3:00 p.m. Pacific
TV Info: Pac-12 Networks, Ted Robinson (play-by-play), Glenn Parker (analyst)
and Jill Savage (sidelines) providing the commentary.
Radio Info: KOMO AM-1000/FM-97.7; Sirius (137) and XM (197)
Washington has dominated this series, and they currently lead it at 61-34-4. As you might have heard, this week marks the 100th meeting between these teams in a series that began on December 4, 1897. That game, interestingly enough, was called the game "for the collegiate football championship of the Pacific Northwest." It was looked at, at least by the locals, as the state of Washington versus the state of Oregon, and it drew a relatively large crowd of roughly 1,500 spectators. Those in attendance came from all over both states.
By half time Oregon State was up 12-0, the result of two touchdowns. Washington was able to drive the ball down to the Oregon State 10 yard-line twice, but was unable to sniff pay dirt. On one of those drives they attempted a field goal, something not done very often in those days, but it was blocked. In the second half, Oregon State padded their lead with another touchdown, their third of the game, and went on to win 16-0.
The longest winning streak by either team was when the Huskies won 13 straight, from 1986 to 2000. Oregon State was able to rip off six wins in a row from 2004 through 2009. However, the Huskies have won the last three match-ups between the two teams, by an average margin of 23 points.
5.4 - Average yards gained per pass attempt.
6.1 - Average yards gained per pass attempt at home.
15.9 - Average points scored per game against conference opponents.
19.6 - Average points scored per game at home.
43.4 - QB completion percentage on third down with 7 or more yards to go for a first down.
46.5 - QB completion percentage against conference opponents.
47.5 - QB completion percentage.
58.2 - QB completion percentage in the 1st quarter.
54.5 - Third down completion percentage when there's 3 or less yards to go and the Beavers elect to run the ball.
158.4 - Rushing yards per conference game this season.
175.2 - Rushing yards per game this season.
335.3 - Average yards gained per game this season.
340.9 - Average yards gained against conference opponents.
6.35 - Opponent's yards per offensive play.
7.13 - Conference opponent's yards per offensive play.
11 - Total number of rushing plays allowed to go more than 20 yards.
44.2 - Opponent's 3rd down conversion rate.
66.7 - Opposing QB's completion percentage.
89.13 - Opponent's red zone conversion rate. (Opponents are scoring TD's on 69.5 percent of their trips to the red zone.)
212.7 - Number of rushing yards surrendered per game.
462.2 - Opponent's average yards gained per game.
540.9 - Conference opponent's average yards gained per game.
Questions Needing Answers
Will we see 4 consistent quarters of football? How about we win the turnover margin? Will the streak of 3 consecutive drives ending in a turnover stop at 3? Will the butterfingers please figure out how to catch the ball?
Will Elijah Qualls be back? Do we even need him back for this game? Can the front 7 pressure the Beaver QB? What about forcing him to make some boneheaded mistakes? Can we please wrap up on our tackles?
Can the Huskies make it 4 in a row over the Beavers? Will the crowd at Reser be louder than at Stanford? What's the over under on boneheaded calls from the zebras? Should Mike Riley have moved on?
The biggest issue with Oregon State has been their inability to stay in games early. They like to run the ball, but since other teams have started quickly, and scored in bunches, the Beavers have had no choice but to toss the ball. This has been really helpful to opposing defenses since they can just go all-out in defending the pass, and sending the occasional blitzer to mix things up. This fact is evident in the Beavers' completion percentage in the first quarter. It's almost 60%, which is much, much better than their game average.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Beavers have manufactured absolutely zero pass rush. They just haven't found a way to get to the QB. They have given opposing QB's so much time to throw the ball, at times, it has bordered on the comical. Asking their DBs to cover wideouts for so long is just asking for trouble.
If the Husky offense can protect well, look out for a big game from Jake Browning. I expect him to get the chance to light it up early. This should accomplish two things. First, it should help him regain his confidence, after his amazingly horrendous finish to the game last week. Secondly, it will open up the run game and allow the backs to gash the Beavers for runs of 7-15 yards over and over again.
I am expecting the Dawgs to get back into the win column, and play a complete game this week. Dwayne Washington will probably have the most receiving yards, and three tight ends will have a big game (Perkins, Daniels, & Sample). The defense will get over its shoddy tackling and have a huge day in bottling up the run. The DB's will be very active, and get at least one pick. All in all, I see the Huskies having a great day, and getting the W they desperately need.
Apparently Lavonte Barnett has given this game a lot of thought. I suppose that makes sense, since it's the final home game of his college career.
It looks like the Huskies are going to be playing with a serious amount of urgency this week. If they lose they're more than likely done for the season after the Apple Cup.
The Beavers are still looking for their first conference win of the season. They have two games left for that to happen, and if they can't pull it off this week, their chances get even slimmer during rivalry week when they take on the Ducks.
The Huskies are big favorites this week. They are sitting as 15 point favorites, according to VegasInsider, over the lowly Beavers. Oregon State has sucked this year against the spread, only winning twice. The line is at 49 points.