What the Ruff? Week 12 CFB Rankings Updates

Sad Ducks. - Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Huskies are once again left out of the top 25 despite a smattering of objective assessments that suggest that UW may be the most under-ranked team in the nation.

Updated BCS rankings came out yesterday and they reflected a reshuffling of the deck chairs following a number of interesting Week 11 developments.  The big news for Pac 12 fans is the move of Stanford into the top four following their dominating performance over Oregon last Thursday.  The Cardinal are the highest ranked 1-loss team in the field and are ahead of a couple of undefeated teams, most notably Baylor.

For their part, the Ducks are still in the BCS conversation, but without any clear paths to the national championship game.  The Ducks come in 6th in the BCS and are still positioned to possibly play in a post-season BCS bowl game.  They'll likely need some help (e.g, a Stanford win over Notre Dame) to ensure a BCS bowl if they want to avoid a let-down like the Alamo Bowl.

The Huskies, despite a thoroughly dominating win over an under-manned Colorado team, are still outside of both the AP top 25 and the BCS rankings.  The Huskies, who did get 9 "other votes" in the AP and one in the Coaches Poll, are quickly becoming the most significantly under-ranked team in the nation.  Considering that the combined records of the three teams that UW has lost to includes a grand total of four losses and that two of those teams are in the BCS top 6, it seems that the Huskies are victims of timing of the losses (three in a row) and the wild score in the ASU game.

Outside of the BCS, the Huskies are, in fact, getting a lot of love.  The Sagarin rankings love Washington, showing the Huskies coming in as a top 10 team in the nation.  The Huskies benefit in Sagarin's methodology given the strength of their schedule, the statistical performance of their offense (to a greater degree) and their defense (to a lesser degree) and the fact that their losses are to other top 10 teams.  Although the Football Outsiders F/+ rankings for Week 12 are not out yet, I would expect the Huskies to also look very good in that methodology, as well.  All of this indicates that the national impression of the Huskies is somewhat inconsistent with the reality of the product that they are putting on the field, at least to date.

Sagarin_week_12_medium

As for the rest of the Pac 12, I continue to be mystified that UCLA is ahead of ASU given that ASU has the better overall record, the more impressive strength of schedule, and domination in just about every statistical category that matters.  I guess the LA factor counts for more than we'd like to acknowledge.  It is also interesting to note that USC is now in the "others getting votes" category and is positioned to make a big jump back into the rankings if they can find a way to upset Stanford on Saturday.

BCS Rankings - Week 12

BCS Harris Poll USA Today Computer Rankings
RK TEAM AVG PVS RK PTS % RK PTS % AVG A&H RB CM KM JS PW %
1 Alabama .9958 1 1 2625 1.0000 1 1546 .9974 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 .990
2 Florida State .9619 2 2 2514 .9577 2 1485 .9581 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 .970
3 Ohio State .8926 4 3 2373 .9040 3 1401 .9039 4 4 4 4 6 5 3 .870
4 Stanford .8689 5 5 2240 .8533 5 1307 .8432 3 5 3 3 3 3 4 .910
5 Baylor .8618 6 4 2304 .8777 4 1376 .8877 5 3 6 5 7 4 8 .820
6 Oregon .7665 3 6 1968 .7497 7 1162 .7497 6 6 5 8 5 7 6 .800
7 Auburn .7206 9 9 1843 .7021 9 1069 .6897 7 8 8 6 4 8 5 .770
8 Clemson .7200 7 7 1940 .7390 6 1164 .7510 9 9 7 9 10 13 9 .670
9 Missouri .7118 8 8 1855 .7067 8 1083 .6987 8 7 10 7 8 9 7 .730
10 South Carolina .5584 12 12 1417 .5398 12 830 .5355 10 10 9 12 13 10 12 .600
11 Texas A&M .5473 15 10 1582 .6027 11 898 .5794 13 15 16 13 12 17 14 .460
12 Oklahoma State .4671 14 11 1545 .5886 10 965 .6226 22 14 20 18 NR 22 25 .190
13 UCLA .4548 19 16 1026 .3909 15 641 .4135 11 13 13 17 11 11 11 .560
14 Fresno State .4317 16 13 1124 .4282 14 646 .4168 14 17 17 11 25 12 13 .450
15 Northern Illinois .3505 18 18 825 .3143 21 445 .2871 14 24 12 20 17 6 10 .450
16 Michigan State .3417 17 15 1090 .4152 16 620 .4000 21 18 21 15 22 23 22 .210
17 UCF .3411 21 19 791 .3013 19 468 .3019 16 16 11 14 19 16 16 .420
18 Oklahoma .2926 10 20 732 .2789 17 510 .3290 17 12 15 16 23 NR 23 .270
19 Arizona State .2833 22 22 475 .1810 22 262 .1690 12 11 23 10 9 18 15 .500
20 Louisville .2806 20 14 1104 .4206 13 653 .4213 28 NR 18 NR NR NR NR .000
21 LSU .2757 13 17 919 .3501 18 476 .3071 24 NR 19 NR 16 21 21 .170
22 Wisconsin .2612 24 21 674 .2568 20 460 .2968 18 22 22 NR 18 19 18 .230
23 Miami (FL) .1471 11 23 457 .1741 23 228 .1471 25 21 NR 21 21 NR 24 .120
24 Texas .1092 NR 24 247 .0941 24 176 .1135 25 20 14 24 24 24 NR .120
25 Georgia .0857 NR 25 102 .0389 NR 44 .0284 22 19 24 22 15 25 20 .190

AP Top 25 - Week 12

The AP poll does not count in the BCS ranking system, but reflects the assessments of a much broader voter base.

Rank Team Record Votes Previous
1 Alabama (56) 9-0 1,472 1
2 Florida State (3) 9-0 1,418 3
3 Ohio State 9-0 1,310 4
4 Baylor 8-0 1,303 5
5 Stanford 8-1 1,272 6
6 Oregon 8-1 1,139 2
7 Auburn 9-1 1,109 7
8 Clemson 8-1 1,049 8
9 Missouri 9-1 1,012 9
10 Texas A&M 8-2 909 11
11 South Carolina 7-2 857 13
12 Oklahoma State 8-1 780 15
13 UCLA 7-2 669 16
14 Michigan State 8-1 633 18
15 UCF 7-1 596 19
16 Fresno State 9-0 588 17
17 Wisconsin 7-2 503 21
18 LSU 7-3 470 10
19 Louisville 8-1 467 20
20 Northern Illinois 9-0 396 22
21 Arizona State 7-2 362 23
22 Oklahoma 7-2 285 12
23 Texas 7-2 185 NR
24 Miami (FL) 7-2 121 14
25 Georgia 6-3 78 NR
Others Receiving Votes: Mississippi 68, Minnesota 60, Nebraska 16, Duke 11, USC 10, Washington 9, Ball State 7, Virginia Tech 5, Brigham Young 3, Notre Dame 2, Houston 1

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