State of the Huskies - Defense
How does the potential 2012 defense compare to the one that Nick Holt took over in 2009?
As we discussed in the previous article former Husky recruiting coordinator Dick Baird feels the Huskies are another thirty quality bodies away from competing at an elite level in the BCS. I think the majority of those thirty bodies need to be allocated to the defense.
Defensive Line - About the same
In 2009 Sark inherited a starting defensive line made up of So. Alameda Ta'amu (Four Year Starter), So. Cameron Elisara (Starter/Bust), Sr Daniel Teo Nesheim (NFL), and Sr. Darrion Jones (Starter/Injuries). Backing them up were So. Tyrone Duncan (Transfer), Jr. Deshon Matthews (Bust), So. Kelani Aldrich (Injuries), So. Everrette Thompson (Starter), RS Craig Noble (Medical Red Shirt).
Three of Sarks 2009 recruits Fr. Semisi Tokolahi (Starter), Fr .Andru Pulu (Transfer), Fr. Talia Chrichton (Back up) played immediately. Promising nose tackle Fr. Chris Robinson (Medical RS) sat out rehabbing a knee injury.
Pulu and Aldrich had the ability to start and be pretty good. Aldrich had a chronic knee problem which caused him to retire a year early without ever coming close to reaching his potential. Pulu was expelled from the University after a brutal attack on another student that earned him jail time.
Heading into 2012 SR Semisi Tokalahi and Sr Talia Chrichton are the lone survivors of that group who at least on paper should have played much better than they did over the past three seasons.
So. Danny Shelton and Sr. Semisi Tokolahi are the probable inside starters in 2012. Shelton did some nice things at the end of the season in a couple of starts. Tokolahi should be closer to 100% after being limited in 2011 while recovering from a leg injury suffered against WSU in 2010.
So. Haouli Jamora suffered a torn ACL early in 2011. He is potentially one of the better DE's in the conference. So. Josh Shirley had his moments on the edge by needs another 20 solid pounds to hold his own.
So. Lawrence Lagafuiana, Jr. Sione Potoae, So. Andrew Hudson, and Sr Talia Chrichton are the key backups. The reviews were mixed on Lagafuiana. Potoae was limited early with chronic knee pain. He got some reps but didn't really impress. Hudson has a bright future. He played inside and out last season.
RS Taniela Topou is guy who will push for time at three technique. RS Corey Waller is a speed guy who will apprentice behind Josh Shirley. RS Justin Finau is another kid that will push for time because he adds some size that is missing on the edge.
So is this current group better than what Sark started with in 2009? I don't know if it is potentially any better or even deeper than when they took over.
The graduation of Alameda Ta'amu will certainly be felt in the middle. I think Shelton could end up being better but it will take some time. The teams lacks size on the ends. Shirley and Hudson could use another 20 pounds apiece. Jamora and Tokalahi need to return at full strength from injury or it could be another long season for this group. It would be nice if Tupou and Finau broke out this spring and started pushing for meaningful time in the rotation.
Help is definitely needed from the recruiting trail. Washington will take up to six defensive linemen in 2012. Some of that emphasis will be on increasing size and speed out on the edge. True nose tackles are at a premium this season and UW will be very lucky if they end up closing on one.
Linebacker - Younger...faster... smaller... yet to prove themselves
Back in 2009 Sark inherited a pretty good looking group of linebackers that included four athletes with NFL potential. Remember when UW went toe to toe with LSU and upset USC? Those guys were partly responsible for that.
Sr. EJ Savannah (Starter), Jr. Mason Foster (NFL), Sr. Donald Butler (NFL). Backed up by Sr. Jon Gage (Walk On), Sr. Trenton Tuiasosopo (1-B Starter), and So.Cort Dennison (All Pac 12) who eventually replaced EJ at OLB was making his move.
Jr. Vic Aiyewa was about to make a move to LB from safety (two years to late). Jr. Matt Houston was in the depth and played a bit on special teams. Fr. Jordan Wallace (Bust), RS. Kurt Mangum (Bust), So. Alvin Logan (Medical RS) had moved over from safety after starting out at wide receiver. Fr. Tim Tucker (Moved to FB) were all buried trying to find their way. Undersized RS Bradley Roussel never made out of the dog house after being caught with ganga at the dorms and left the team during the spring.
Heading into 2012 can you find four linebackers on the roster with NFL potential?
Back in 2009 this unit was top heavy with experience and NFL talent. Three seasons later this unit is one of the youngest on the team. Jr. Thomas Tutogi takes over for defensive MVP Cort Dennison in the middle. Tutogi flashed potential here and there on special teams in 2011. He has the size and speed you like to see at the position.
So. John Timu and Jr. Princeton Fuimaono had some rough moments learning on the job last season which is to be expected from first and second year players. They need to put that experience to use and add some size to move to the next level in 2012.
So. Jamaal Kearse and Jr.Garrett Gilliland also started a couple of games in 2011. Both are capable of pushing the starters for playing time. Jr. Cooper Pelleur played primarily on special teams. RS Matt Lyons and RS Scott Lawyer sat out the year to add some size. They both have good speed and will contribute on special teams.
Washington's recruiting results have been mixed at LB since Sark arrived. Tim Tucker, Victor Burnett, and Kurt Mangum were busts at MLB. Highly rated recruits Chris Young and Darius Waters didn't qualify due to grade issues which has left some serious holes to be filled.
Washington has commitments from MLB's Blake Rodgers and Ryan McDaniel for 2012. They may take one or two more.
Cornerbacks - About to get a lot better
Back in 2009 RS Adam Long ( Injury), Fr. Desmond Trufant (Three Year Starter) , So Quinton Richardson (Much Maligned Starter), and Jr. Vonzell McDowell (Back-Up) were all splitting time and competing for starting jobs at corner. Jr. Matt Mosley (Transfer), Jr. Marquise Persley (Depth), Fr. Anthony Gobern (Back-Up), and RS Anthony Boyles (Transfer) filled out the depth.
Sr. Desmond Trufant and Jr Greg Ducre are the returning starters in 2011. They both have a lot of experience and they should be able to improve on their 2011 performances. RS Marcus Peters will push Ducre for his starting job. JC transfer Antavius Sims joins the team this winter and will compete for a spot in the rotation. Sr. Adam Long is returning after surgery to repair his ACL. Tony Gobern will continue to provide depth.
The future of the corner back position at the UW is in this years recruiting class. Sark is bringing in at least six athletes who are capable of playing the position. Demontae Kazee and Bryan Harper have already committed. Big time recruits Brandon Beaver, Alphonzo Marsh, and Kenyon Seymour are all extremely high on Washington. Erich Wilson might get a look at being a tall corner depending on who comes in at running back.
Safeties - Improved...much better
Jr. Nate Williams (Four Year Starter) and RS Justin Glenn (Starter) were the starters at safety until Glenn suffered a traumatic leg injury in a loss to Notre Dame. Fr. Nate Fellner (Starter) took over and started until Sr Jason Wells (Injuries) was able to return to action for the last couple of games. Wells was a NFL capable force until he was seriously injured. RS Greg Walker (Depth), Jr. Vic Aiyewa (Starting LB) provided the rest of the depth.
Jr. Sean Parker returns as a starter at safety in 2012. The second year player started asserting himself over the last half of the 2011 season. RS James Sample is the man to beat at the other position despite limited play before blowing out a shoulder last season. Jr. Will Shamburger, Sr. Nate Fellner, and Sr. Justin Glenn are capable of competing for starting jobs.
So. Taz Stevenson sat out last season with an injury. RS Travis Feeney was impressive enough on the scout team that the coaches toyed with playing him early. RS Evan Zeger was hurt coming into camp and spent the past year toiling on the scout team.
Taylor Lagace, Darien Washington, and Jason Thompson are the current 2012 commits. UW also remains in play for Shaq Thompson who will choose between UW and Cal.
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Well this doesn't sound too promising
Somebody please tell me we will be better than the last three years here. If not something has got to change. We lack size and strength in the front seven. What has happened in recruiting that has made us so small up front? Is it to compete with Oregon? We won’t be able to beat Stanford minus Luck or USC minus Barkley with such a pitiful defensive front. Unless something drastic happens we will still not be able to compete with top tier teams on the defensive side of the ball. I’m worried about this.
LB
I think our LB’s will be better next year. Butler and Foster were great but not really at the same time. I think the 4 OLB returners will all have good years. We will just see if Tutogi can play middle.
I hope
the LB’s will be better CODawg. I just don’t know. You would think with the experience they will be. I got to say though, Princeton Fuiamono was a beast against Wazzou. I don’t know if that’s due to Wazzou sucking or he is really starting to get good. Not sure at all. Our defense just scares me.
I also think Kearse and Gilliland look promising. Could Gilliland play in the middle, I’d like for him to be on the field a lot more? He is good.
Better than what?
I think Fui and Timu will be better with a year of experience and most importantly some extra poundage. I have high hopes for Tutogi but he didn’t exactly press anyone for playing time last season.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 8:10 AM PST up reply actions
They better at least be better than this previous season
although that is setting our bar pretty low.
by datboyeddiep on Dec 7, 2011 10:58 AM PST up reply actions
What needs to change...
What needs to change is that we could use better athletes on that side of the ball. Where are the Kasen Williams and ASJ’s of the defense?
Sark has been very upfront in saying that the offense is his first priority because today the ability to outscore your opponent is a quicker way to success than having a solid defense.
Looking back…Oregon started their run of dominance by being able to outscore almost everyone they played.
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by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 8:06 AM PST up reply actions
Good point...
When DJ started he concentrated on defense first…..today it is completely the opposite.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 8:16 AM PST up reply actions
Offense has always been the quick way to success.
That’s just football. A few great offensive skill guys scattered around, and some clever coaches, you can raise hell.
Defense wins championships, though, and always has. That’s a system deal.
The "defense wins championships" line is a cliche. A very tired cliche.
Having more points than your opponent wins championships.
by Steen on Dec 7, 2011 3:24 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Auburn.
Statistically they had a horrible defense. They just happened to match up well against us in one specific area.
Before that, USC and Texas in 2005 both did not have stellar defenses. 2007 LSU didn’t have a stellar defense either, though it was good. But really, Auburn and Oregon both were not remotely great on defense compared to most teams.
That's not true
Texas had one of the best defenses in the country and SC had a good defense. You can name numerous UT players from their national championship team in the NFL now. Both Griffen twins, Michael Huff, Aaron Ross, Tarell Brown. That’s their whole secondary. Brian Orakpo, Roy Miller, Tim Crowder, Aaron Harris, Roddrick Muckelroy, Rashad Bobino, Rob Killebrew. I’ll just stop there.
Thank you for proving why we need a change!!
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
They can't name one
it doesn’t exist. You can point to somewhat flawed defenses winning championships but never has a poor defense in category with ours won a national cham[pionship. Saying Auburn, LSU, Texas, and USC (all of these teams had good defenses) isn’t helping your arguments.
Auburn had a horrible defense
Seriously, they were not good at all. Not by any reasonable measure.
And no, nowhere has a champion won with a really poor defense like Washington’s. Similarly no one has won with a good but not great offense like Washington’s. Washington, simply, isn’t a championship-caliber team at any level yet. You argued that champions have stellar defenses. That statement is factually untrue.
Now, if you want to say that champions have good programs on both sides of the ball with one being outstanding (but the other is still good) that’s fine. If you want to argue that teams need balance, that’s fine. But that’s not what the OP said.
That would be 'winning with a great defense'
If you have a great X, you can deal with having a good Y. I thought this was clear but I’ll apparently have to be more direct.
If Washington’s best unit is a good offense then they’re not going to win championships. If Washington’s worst unit is a horrible defense they’re not going to win championships.
Auburn matched up very well with Oregon, too.
Their best player was at one of the primary positions to slow Oregon’s run attack down.
Sure, but that's a matchup issue
It just so happens one of the better ways to disrupt Oregon is to have great DTs because they rely on the mesh, and the mesh can be hurt by great DT play. But that doesn’t mean Auburn has a great defense; it means they had Nick Fairley. By comparison, the Ducks threw for almost 400 yards and multiple scores against that team, which is not what you’d call a strong defensive performance most years.
I'm not arguing that Auburn had a great defense.
As you said, it was a matchup issue. And the matchup allowed Auburn’s D to look pretty good that day. Making Oregon a one-dimensional team (especially when the dimension taken away is the run) is impressive.
Cliche because it's true.
Having more points merely wins games, not championships.
Over the long haul of a season, the defense always shows up. It’s just more of a given than offense. A more bankable assemblage of talents. The defense is already holding the field of play. The offense has to come to them to move through it.
It's not particularly true
Greatness wins championships. Not defense. Not offense. Greatness. The last NCAA champions were significantly great in some aspect. Whether it was Cam Newton and Nick fairley, a ridiculous NFL-quality defense, Tim Tebow, JaMarcus russell and apparently a pact with satan, another great defense and an overmatched team, two amazingly stocked teams with legendary college QBs or a ridiculously talented offense all of the prior champions have had greatness in one facet of the game or another, or in some cases (like Texas and USC in 2005) both.
The notion that defense wins championships is crap otherwise. Truly amazing offenses have done very well in the championships too. More importantly they’ve done perfectly fine winning conference championships, and that’s the next step for the Huskies.
by kalon on Dec 7, 2011 11:53 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Rec'ing it because I hate that stupid cliche that "defense wins championships"
Greatness wins championships is a cliche that has less logical fallacies than “defense wins championships”
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 8, 2011 12:15 AM PST up reply actions
You like greatness. I like greatness. All God's Chillin's likes greatness
Still and all, great defenses beat great offenses, going back forever. They shut them down, they break them up, they ruin them completely.
Defense is a more constant winning commodity than offense. It’s `greatness’ is more reliably manifest on the field of play. Play after play, game after game, season after season. The offense has the ball, the initiative, but the defense has the field. `We’re here already, and you have to come to us.’ Bottom line, it’s easier to hold what you have, than it is to take it away. It’s easier to destroy than it is to create.
It's great you think this way
But eventually you’ll have to leave the 70s and start watching football as it’s played today.
Great defenses don’t always beat great offenses. In 2005 USC had a statistically better defense than Texas; Texas won on the feet and arm of Vince Young. In 2010 Oregon had a statistically better defense than Auburn (especially per play) but Auburn ended up winning, mostly due to having the ball last. In 2004 Oklahoma had a better defense than USC; USC obliterated their defense in one of the most crushing bowl games in history.
It’s a generalization. It’s cute and it makes you think of the NFL announcer saying ‘frozen tundra of lambeau field’ but it’s just not accurate. This season it absolutely will be – but a big function of that is that Oklahoma State isn’t even getting their shot to play.
In 2004 Oklahoma had a better defense than USC; USC obliterated their defense in one of the most crushing bowl games in history.
That’s a subjective argument. USC allowed fewer points per game (taking out the championship game for both teams) against arguably a tougher schedule.
There’s no doubt it’s a generalization. But if you look at all of the BCS winners, the team with the better defense wins far more often than not. That doesn’t mean it didn’t also have a better offense to go with it.
I did look
“far more often” is pretty wrong. It’s about 60/40. And it’s what, 15 data points? That means that of the 15 games, the team with the better defense won 8 or 9 times.
Scoring more points than the other team is not just what wins games, but championships.
To win a championship game, you have to do what? Win the game. To win the game, you have to do what? Score more points than the other team.
To do that, you need a combination of offense, defense, and special teams. Unless your defense scores all of your points for you, you will never, ever have a case where defense wins championships. Myopia for just one facet of the game as the championship piece has never made sense to me because no matter what, you still need the other facets of the game to succeed at winning.
To win games more often and/or better than everybody else is greatness.
Great offenses do also beat great defenses, too.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 8, 2011 11:56 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
If the goal is to outscore your opponent, should we be running this offense?
I mean if scoring so paramount, then I don’t see how a pro style attack is near the eqaul to spread option or (especially) one of the Air Raid varieties that WSU is about to run.
Take USC for example
They put up plenty of points during their run of dominance under Carroll and they certainly did that over the second half of the year with Kiffin.
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by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 8:18 AM PST up reply actions
I don't like using USC as example.
We don’t have their talent. We will never have that level of talent, imo. So it’s not applicable… Is there another pro-style anyone can point to, I’d like to have something to hope for.
But it's not the same as the true spread offenses.
Price with the wide O-Line splits and throwing 50x a game would be great to watch, imo.
What's a "true" spread offense?
That term is so broad that it’s extremely difficult to differentiate the many variations of spread offenses out there that one could define what a true spread offense is. For example, Urban Meyer’s spread offense is vastly different from Pat Sumlin’s spread offense.
If anything, for the teams that emphasize a heavy amount of passing, between all the various spread offenses, tend to have one thing in common: Spread the field horizontally, using 3-WR to 5-WR shotgun formations as the primary formations with a no-huddle approach.
Outside of that, I think you’d be hard pressed to define what a “true” spread offense is.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 3:54 PM PST up reply actions
I think that running an option read or two now and then isn't a spread offense
The point of the spread – in any system – is to have a few basic formations only, a few plays you can run from them only, and confuse people by similar looks that they must react to in different ways. That’s the fundamental basis of the spread.
If you’re just running an IZR every so often that’s not a spread offense; that’s a formation. That’s akin to saying that you’re a shotgun offense if you play in the shotgun 5 times a year.
That's not the point of the spread at all
The basis of the spread is to put multiple wide receivers or other threats out into space to force the defense to defend the whole field, thus “spreading” them from sideline to sideline.
Depends on what spread you're talking about
But even then the point is the same. Leach’s airraid runs something like 6 total formations. From those 6 formations he has something like 8 different plays. The trick is that you can’t easily tell what’s going on or what it is based on what the formation is, and it’s easy to get people to bite one way and play something else.
Same with the run & gun. Same with the Oregon spread. And largely the same with Meyer, though he runs a few more exotic things now and again. The big bread and butter is to convince the other team what is going to happen and use their own tendencies against them. That is a fundamental part of the spread concept, from Kelly to Meyer to Leach.
Disagree again.
What about June Jones at Hawaii? Many various formations from ace to shotgun with many different plays.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 4:23 PM PST up reply actions
I strongly disagree.
You just defined Oregon’s approach: Misdirection.
But to use the example of Urban Meyer again, he shows quite a few more sophisticated formation than just a few basic formations.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 4:04 PM PST up reply actions
He does, but not that often
MOst of the formations are the standard IZR or OZR or double option spread. He’ll occasionally go to an ace or a empty backfield set (especially in goalline or special situations ) but the vast majority of snaps are done from only a few formations.
This is just wrong
Meyer’s offense had counters and leads and various other plays like shovel passes and screens to get the ball into the hands of Tebow, Harvin and their running backs.
Completely agree.
Spread offense = using the whole field (horizontally), lots of WR’s, can be run, can be pass, can be under center, but more commonly is shotgun.
Pro Style = Offense that emulates the NFL, lots of formations using FB’s, and TE’s. Mostly under center, but can use the shotgun often too.
Sark’s Offense (2011 version) = Multiple. Lots of pro sets, lots spread sets, a little bit of everything. One thing I really like about Sark is his ability to be flexible and to adjust the offense according to the personnel currently on the team. (Take a hint Nicky)
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
We only are running the spread
to help fulfill Keith Price and Jake Locker’s full potential. Keith played spread in high school and that’s why Sark has implemented some of the spread into our current pro style offense. I hate the spread!
Secondly, I don’t agree with using USC as an example, their recruiting far exceeds ours. Sark wants us to be a defensive, smash mouth, run the ball, control the clock type of team. We have got to play defense in order to be elite. Sure we can win 8-9 games without one, which will be great by the way. But it’s not putting us in national title contention which is what we all want. The question is, is Nick Holt the man to get us there? So far no bueno!
by datboyeddiep on Dec 7, 2011 11:06 AM PST up reply actions
Incorrect, actually.
Sarkisian may implement a lot of elements from the formations that many variations of spread offenses implement, but his offensive scheme remains pro-style due to the complexity of his offense. Just the number of pre-snap motions by his skill players alone tells us that his scheme is very pro-style.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 3:45 PM PST up reply actions
Okay.
but his offensive scheme remains pro-style due to the complexity of his offense.
But this is entirely a false notion.
I don’t disagree with your basic point, though.
Name a pro-style offense that runs the zone read
“Pro style” offense doesn’t refer to complexity. It’s about formations and play calls.
Can you name a pro style that lines up a wide-out as a half back?
Sarksian is multiple. To define him as one thing or another is a nonstarter.
The pro game is evolving, too.
The % of spread shotgun sets teams run has gone through the roof in the last 5 years. They still run way more under center snaps than you’ll ever see in college.
That a pro-style offense running a specific play is irrelevant.
The pro-style offense is not about formations and play calls. That is incorrect. The term pro-style is a BROAD term in which offenses may mimic those generally used in the NFL, and the basis is of this is the complexity of the pro offenses.
I’ve seen Minnesota line Percy Harvin up at HB2. I’ve seen Charlie Weis, who ran a pro-style offense line Golden Tate up at HB. So on, so forth.
And by saying that Sarkisian runs a pro-style offense is to include that Sarkisian is multiple, simply because of the various offenses in the pro’s that are multiple in nature.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 4:09 PM PST up reply actions
New Orleans
NO often runs wideouts as halfbacks. Martz does this all the time too. So does New England. New England and Indy also flex out TEs as receivers, sometimes as screen blockers and sometimes as screen catchers.
To all three of you:
I admittedly gave a weak example.
My point is that Sarkisian does enough things that aren’t really in the realm of the way “pro style” has traditionally been defined to call him “pro style.” But I suppose it’s a moving target.
Remember...
We beat them two years in a row with…..defense.
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by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 8:23 AM PST up reply actions
And look at every game that Oregon has lost, or been threatened the last few years.
It’s been about the opposition’s defense, not their offense.
This is a fact
though LSU, Auburn, Ohio St, USC all have extremely fast gifted athletes on defense. We lack big time athletes on D. What I notice about Oregon is, if you watch them and they look blazing fast compared to the other team, Oregon wins. If you see them and they don’t look so fast, they usually lose. Those teams I listed above made Oregon look (I don’t want to say slow but) slower.
by datboyeddiep on Dec 7, 2011 11:10 AM PST up reply actions
I'm not competent to comment on the details of offensive schemes,
but, D*MN, the Duck Defense is really and truly fast!
Uh
USC beat Oregon mostly because of their offense.
LSU beat Oregon primarily because of special teams (2 turnovers on ST led to 14 points directly + great field position all day long on both sides of the ball for LSU).
Stanford in 2009 absolutely was about a stupidly great offensive performance against the Ducks
I’ll give you Boise State and Auburn.
Cal was probably defense, but it’s hard to say; that game was just weird.
There’s no one way to beat the Ducks. Great defense is going to win you games, period, but so is great offense. Ultimately being great at something is probably better as far as success than being good at multiple things.
USC beat Oregon mostly because of their offense.
We disagree.
LSU beat Oregon primarily because of special teams.
Look at Oregon’s offensive stats.
There’s no one way to beat the Ducks.
Obviously, we disagree. In every instance, though, Oregon was taken out of their rhythym. By the defense. You can argue the cause, but he effect is always the same.
On one thing we agree on
Which is that we disagree.
Oregon’s offensive stats were not as great against LSU as they were for the season; at the same time they were not particularly bad and they were significantly better than any other team that has played LSU. The biggest reason LSU won was that they had 5 scoring drives that started at the Oregon 40 or better, including one special teams return for a score. 4 of those 5 were set up by good returns, bad field position or 2 turnovers on special teams. If you want to claim that this is because of defense, that’s fine – but that’s a very nebulous definition of defense.
USC didn’t hold Oregon to squat. Oregon had two completely unforced fumbles in the USC red zone. Oregon’s yards, YPC, play calling and in general behavior was virtually identical to every ‘good’ game they played; the only better game was against Stanford. Do you really believe that 200 yards rushing and almost 500 yards total is a defensive ‘stop’? Really? And that doesn’t even factor in that Oregon got a kick return TD.
Oregon wasn’t taken out of their rhythm by the USC defense. They didn’t get many stops at all that were forced. By comparison, whenever Oregon got USC into ‘bad’ down and distance they were able to convert, often in big big plays. That’s what killed Oregon in that game.
Put it another way: Washington held Oregon to significantly less overall production than USC did. Was Washington particularly disruptive?
If you feel that USC stopped Oregon on D, please point out how. Please point to any drive stats, actual stats or information that might indicate this. Because otherwise you’re just making a random assumption without any real basis in facts. The heroes of the USC game for USC wasn’t a single player on defense. That was Barkley, Woods and Lee’s coming out party.
I agree with pretty much everything....except
The definition of “spread”…Lol!
You are going to give *ucks a bad name
by being both civil and knowledgeable.
I’m old enough to remember the olden days when the NW schools banded together, knowing they all received little love or attention from CA.
It has been strange for me to watch some of the unpleasantness that has occurred, and I greatly hope it looks worse from a distance than it really has been.
Wish you well.
Hope the next time we manage to beat you you have a ten win season anyway . . .
LSU beat your Ducks down
with defensive team speed. Once again look at your stats. Your QB was horrible, not because he is horrible, because LSU’s defense is that good. Every game Oregon loses is due to the other team matching or over matching Oregon’s speed.
Okay, let's look at the stats
60% completion rate. 250 yards in the air. The worst stat was only 6 yards per catch.
And it didn’t matter at the end of the day because even with that defensive speed and power the game was close well into the third quarter. Oregon had been able to mount long methodical drives (Oregon had an 18 play drive against LSU!) Oregon did, however, have big turnovers – two special teams turnovers, another fumble by a rookie RB, and those three plays gave LSU the ball at the Oregon 28 or less. Two other LSU drives started in Oregon field because of punt returns.
LSU’s defensive team speed was great, but Oregon didn’t lose because of it. Oregon’s offense was slowed down, but Oregon didn’t lose because of it. Oregon could have won that game if that’s all it was. Oregon lost, plain and simple, because LSU had 5 drives that started inside the Oregon 40 which led to 31 points by LSU. That’s really not a difficult concept to grasp, is it?
Oregon’s offensive stats were not as great against LSU as they were for the season; at the same time they were not particularly bad and they were significantly better than any other team that has played LSU.
Oregon ran for 98 yards. That’s somehow “not particularly bad?” What other teams did against LSU is irrelevant. LSU took Oregon’s running game away, and forced Thomas to throw the ball 54 times. At only 4.4 yards per pass. And 3.4 yards per rush. No big plays. Were the turnovers an absolutely huge part of the outcome? Of course. Did LSU’s defense dominate the game? Yes.
Oregon wasn’t taken out of their rhythm by the USC defense.
Yes they were, especially in the first 40 minutes of the game. Oregon averaged about half the yards per rush outside the tackles as they had the rest of the season. No runs longer than 13 yards. No big plays on the ground, period.
I’m not suggesting that USC’s defense dominated the game. But they did more than enough in slowing Oregon early that they were able to hang on late. Oregon’s offense got their yards, but not their points.
USC’s offense was great, and the Trojans don’t win without it. But they also don’t win without what was a very good defensive effort, statistics be damned.
Running for 98 yards against LSU isn't that bad, no.
Especially when it was clear from the getgo that Oregon’s plan was to pass more and attack the secondary. It wasn’t stellar, but it wasn’t bad.
Did LSU’s defense dominate the game? Hardly. Oregon scored 27 points. They had an 18-play drive that ended in a TD. If you believe this is what ‘dominant’ means I’m not sure we can converse; this is not a particularly dominant performance.
“Yes they were, especially in the first 40 minutes of the game. Oregon averaged about half the yards per rush outside the tackles as they had the rest of the season. No runs longer than 13 yards. No big plays on the ground, period”
This is also what Washington did against Oregon. Oregon did just fine against Washington. Oregon doesn’t need plays longer than 13 yards; they’re perfectly fine as long as they get plays around 5-6 yards, which is easily what they averaged for their first drives. Again, Oregon fumbled twice, unforced, inside the red zone and turned the ball over. How this is ignored by you is beyond me.
Similarly, while Oregon didn’t have big plays running they had big plays receiving. Their first scoring drive had 35 and 29 yard pass plays, one of which was essentially a bubble screen. Oregon doesn’t need big plays running the ball to beat you; any kind of big play is perfectly fine.
What made me mad in a lot of ways was that I felt we could run on them and we chose not to. Our first drive we come out and run the ball once. It even gained yardage that was decent. We throw the ball 4 times, get 2 bad incompletes and punt. Second drive DT fumbles with no contact. Third drive we throw another 5 passes and run twice – and each run was for 4 or more yards. 4th drive we gain 5 or more yards on every run but get a holding penalty that kills the drive. Next drive we run it almost every down (getting again 5 or more yards per run) and we fumble it again on no contact in the red zone. Next drive we have DT running for his life three times after trying to pass. Drive after that we score with two running plays that go for more than 6 yards each. And then after that it was a rushapaloozza, as you hint at.
Where was the ‘disrupting the running plays’ in the above? there was no disruption; they weren’t being called. When they were being called they were working fine. We had exactly one negative running play the entire day! They didn’t take us out of our rhythm at all; we decided for some reason that running the ball was a bad thing early on.
I think at this point you’re just trying to defend an indefensible point. Go look at the play by play. Show me where the running plays failed. Show me how those turned the tide in some fashion. Because right now you’re just reaching.
On the one hand, you argue that what Oregon did against LSU is okay, because LSU is good. But you dismiss that Oregon is also good, and LSU held them significantly below their season averages in points, rushing yards, average per rush, yards per play, etc. What Oregon did against LSU is okay (maybe even “good”) for a decent offense. But Oregon is far more than a decent offense. Far more.
Through the first three quarters, the Ducks had 27 rushes for around 125 yards (not counting sacks). About a yard and a half under their season average. For the game, it was 2 yards a carry under the season’s average, but that includes sacks.
I watched the game. Oregon won the turnover battle. Were the ones they had critical? Sure. Just like USC’s were. It happens. Did USC’s offense throw the ball exceptionally well? Absolutely. But you’re denying that a team that held the Ducks almost a 100 yards below their season’s average on the ground, more than two yards per carry less than their season’s average, and more than 10 points fewer than average (and that’s including a kickoff return as an offensive score) didn’t have anything to do with the win? And I’m reaching?
As for the rushes not being called….Oregon averages about 50 a game for the season. Against USC? 47. The ratio might be a tad skewed because the Ducks had a few more offensive plays that game than they average, but it’s not as bad as you’re attempting to make it. And not running the ball is a tribute to SC’s defense. Obviously, Kelly has respect for it.
Take off the glasses, stop drinking the kool-aid, and just give the Trojan defense credit for playing a good game.
The last word is yours.
Yay, last word.
LSU did do well against Oregon on defense. I have never said otherwise. Again, you chose ‘dominate’. And in that, it was clear they didn’t. A dominant performance is what Florida did to Ohio State in 2006. A dominant performance is what LSU did to Georgia in the recent SEC championship. When you allow the other team to score 27 points, most of which were on long drives, it’s not a dominant performance.
But anyway, onto USC.
You didn’t bother reading anything I wrote, did you? The point I made then was that we did not go to the running game until late. When we did, we succeeded. We had 47 rushing plays and 35 of them were called in the second half. 35! When you’re down 4 scores does that sound like the kind of thing you do if you ‘respect the run’? Again, we had exactly one negative rushing play all day. We had 4 rushing plays that went for 2 or fewer yards out of 47. If Kelly had so much ‘respect’ for the USC defense and stopping the run why did Oregon go to running the ball when we were down 4 scores? How does that make sense at all? And why was it so successful in the 3rd and 4th quarters, especially if we hadn’t done a whole lot of plays?
So yes, I’m denying that USC holding Oregon to under 100 yards of their average means that much – especially when Oregon got those gaudy averages primarily by playing against really bad defenses. Is USC’s defense ‘really bad’? No. They’re a bit above average. At the same time, they disrupted nothing on the running game. They didn’t force us to pass the ball. They didn’t cause us to get into 2nd and 3rd and long situations. We did all that because we didn’t pass the ball well.
Now, why didn’t we pass the ball well? Again, if you watched the game the answer was apparent: DT was not on. He was missing wide open receivers. He was throwing the ball hard. People dropped things right and left as well. There were a couple times when the Trojans got pressure, but largely it was on DT.
The Trojan defense played an okay game. But it isn’t drinking the coolaid to note that Oregon had 8 drives inside the 40 and came away with only 21 points on those drives, with two unforced turnovers, a missed field goal and two turnovers on downs (again, after multiple straight passing plays) happened. That isn’t caused by the Trojan defense any more than the ASU offense caused no one to cover anyone deep and get a long TD pass. Sometimes you win not because you did something right but because the other team did something wrong.
Alright, I lied.
I’ve got to correct a blatant falsehood that’s obviously skewing your perception of the game.
We had 47 rushing plays and 35 of them were called in the second half. 35!
Oregon had 23 rushes in the first half. Not counting sacks, and not counting a 13-yard Thomas run that may have been a run, and may have been a scramble. Maybe there was a lateral or two in there, but that’s on you to prove.
play-by-play, count ’em for yourself.
But the Ducks only lose because they beat themselves, right?
Ya know what, sundodger
Let’s go with this.
I did mistakenly go with them running the ball only 12 t imes in the first half. That was wrong. It was 18. The discrepancy is how the play by play calls some of the things; Marcus Mariota, for instance, was not on the field (he’s the 4th string QB) and that referred to DT fumbling the ball on a random pass that ended up having him just drop the ball out of his hands. Not a running play. None of the scrambles in the first half were designed runs.
Similarly, there were by my count 24 designed runs in the second half.
The point is still valid, sundodger: if Kelly respected USC’s defense to stop the run why did he do it MORE in the second half? Especially given that he had fewer possessions in the second half?
I never said that Oregon only beats themselves. I do think that one of the reasons that we lost was that we got too cute early on, tried to pass it too many times, and didn’t go to the run until we had very little time to make up. We had bad playcalling in that game. We made mistakes. We had two critical errors that were huge mistakes and that cost us. Most importantly, USC’s offense absolutely wrecked us. We couldn’t get them off the field. We couldn’t slow them down. They repeatedly broke our back on long drives after converting big 3rd down plays.
I have always – ALWAYS maintained that the reason Oregon lost this game was first and foremost because USC’s offense did so well. That was the statement in the start and is the statement now. You’ve tried to claim first USC’s speed ‘shut down’ the running game (despite the running game having almost no negative plays and consistently successful ones). Then you went to them ‘disrupting’ the Oregon offense (despite the play calling clearly favoring passing over running even though running was successful). Then you’re just going to state ‘okay, well, USC’s defense didn’t play that badly, right?’
Yes, USC’s defense didn’t play that badly. But they didn’t do a particularly good job of stopping Oregon, especially Oregon’s running attack.
You’ve tried to claim first USC’s speed ‘shut down’ the running game (despite the running game having almost no negative plays and consistently successful ones). Then you went to them ‘disrupting’ the Oregon offense (despite the play calling clearly favoring passing over running even though running was successful). Then you’re just going to state ‘okay, well, USC’s defense didn’t play that badly, right?’
Eh, no. Those are your words. I said:
I’m not suggesting that USC’s defense dominated the game. But they did more than enough in slowing Oregon early that they were able to hang on late. Oregon’s offense got their yards, but not their points.
USC’s offense was great, and the Trojans don’t win without it. But they also don’t win without what was a very good defensive effort, statistics be damned.
As for the number of first half rushes…Barner, James, and DeAnthony Thomas combined for 23. I’ve no idea how you arrived at 18.
I have always – ALWAYS maintained that the reason Oregon lost this game was first and foremost because USC’s offense did so well.
I know you have. It’s your opinion. Other offenses have played well against Oregon and failed to win, because Oregon will almost invariably win a shootout. Their offense is just that much better than almost all out there.
Since Kelly’s been around, the only team to beat the Ducks by scoring more than Oregon averaged in that season was Stanford. Every other team has managed to hold them enough below Ducks’ average to make the number of points the opponent scores hold up. Nobody is going to shut the Ducks down for a whole game. The teams that have beaten them have done it enough times, though.
Here's what started all of this, Sundodger
You said this:
“It’s been about the opposition’s defense, not their offense.” when asked about how to beat Oregon.
I said that the USC and the Stanford games were mostly about the offense of those teams. You disagreed.
If you’re agreeing now that the primary reason that USC beat Oregon is their offense, fine! Let’s go get margaritas.
If your main argument is that it takes some decent defense to beat Oregon in every situation, again I’ll probably agree. At this point I do not think you can simply outscore Oregon and expect to win. You can’t expect Oregon is going to make that many mistakes or stalls. But this is akin to saying that you’re playing a very good team, a team that has at least good defense and good offense.
However, your defense does not need to be your team’s strong suit. Your offense can. Neither Stanford or USC win their games if their offense isn’t simply great. LSU probably doesn’t win if their special teams aren’t just astoundingly great. Auburn doesn’t win without their great OLine and running backs. You do need your defense to step up and make plays, but that doesn’t mean that it is as you said – “It’s been about the opposition’s defense, not their offense.”
Do you really still think that’s true? Do you really think that when it comes to beating Oregon, the most important thing is the defense? Even after you said that Stanford beat Oregon despite Oregon scoring more than their average points in a game? Despite saying that USC’s offense played great?
You said this:
"It’s been about the opposition’s defense, not their offense." when asked about how to beat Oregon.
I said that the USC and the Stanford games were mostly about the offense of those teams. You disagreed.
Okay, I think I know why we’re where we are now.
Yes, I made that statement, and meant it, and still do.
I’ve also said at least a few times that nobody is going to stop Oregon for an entire game, so I thought the implication was clear that a good offensive effort was also a prerequisite.
As for defense being the key, what I mean is this: Teams have tried to match Oregon score-for-score before. Some have been able to do it for a half or so, and a few times even through three quarters. But that usually means matching Oregon’s pace, and there aren’t many (if any) teams that can do that with the Ducks for an entire game. Eventually, the Ducks get one when you don’t, or maybe two, and then the route is on. That’s been the way things have gone for the most part the last four or five seasons.
The teams that can match (or even exceed by some margin) their offensive efficiency for the season against the Ducks, and at the same time hold Oregon significantly below theirs, are the ones that have a chance to pull out the win.
If Stanford’s defense didn’t play as well as they did in 2009, the Ducks score 55 and win a shootout. Same with the USC game this season.
USC averaged about 36 ppg this season, and scored 38 against the Ducks. Not much of a difference. But they held the Ducks around 10 points below their season average. That’s significant.
Do you really think that when it comes to beating Oregon, the most important thing is the defense? Even after you said that Stanford beat Oregon despite Oregon scoring more than their average points in a game?
What I said (perhaps not clearly) was that the only team to score more than the Ducks were averaging that season (meaning to “outscore” the Ducks with offense) was Stanford. In every other instance, Oregon was held significantly below their season’s average – meaning that the opposition’s defense did its job, and a difficult one at that.
I guess
To me, this boils down to ‘you win the game by scoring more than they do’ and it becomes a fairly weak argument. I mean, you’re saying that if Stanford doesn’t do as good a job as they did then they lose. Well, okay, but isn’t that just a truism and a tautology? Stanford’s D didn’t play any better than they had been; that was one of their worst games all season too, and even adjusting for opponent difficultly it wasn’t great. Yes, if their defense didn’t play as well as they played they would have allowed more points. Similarly, if their offense didn’t play as well as they played they wouldn’t have scored as many points. At that point it’s not a ‘key’ that the defense is the important part to winning against Oregon any more than it’s a key against any other team out there.
Which was my statement.
There’s no magic way to beat the Ducks. The Ducks have lost when they scored all of 8 points and their team was completely and utterly stymied on defense. They’ve lost when they scored 42 and were well above their scoring averages for the season. They’ve lost because they lost special teams battles, turnover battles or had some bad matchups. If you want to beat Oregon at this point the only common thread is that you almost certainly have to be playing at an elite level. Whether that be with a great offense, great defense, great special teams or some combination of all of them. And even then chances are you’ll have to get some luck on your side.
As an aside, three of the teams that have beaten the Ducks in the last 6 years were undefeated the season they did it. 2 played for the national championship. Of the three that don’t fall in that grouping, two were great at offense. The third was great at defense and really outcoached Chip Kelly. Only one loss was to a team outside of the top-10; in fact, I believe given OSU’s ranking that only one of those teams finished outside the top 5.
Now, where I think this all started was the notion that Oregon can’t be beat in a race. And I think it can; I think a team that’s better at racing could, in theory, do it. Wisconsin is such a team. Wisconsin has a signifcantly worse defense than many of the teams Oregon has dominated this season (Cal, USC, Stanford). However, Wisconsin has quite realistically the best overall offense in the nation. They are great at everything. They are significantly better (and more consistent) than Oregon in pretty much every category. If you’re right Oregon will win just because they’ll be able to more consistently drive down the field and get points on the board, and Wisconsin won’t be able to match that pace. My suspicion is that if Oregon wins it’ll be because the defense stepped up and made some big plays.
Well, okay, but isn’t that just a truism and a tautology?
Sure. But so is the whole notion of whomever scores more points, wins.
Stanford’s D didn’t play any better than they had been; that was one of their worst games all season too, and even adjusting for opponent difficultly it wasn’t great.
Do you have a link to an advanced stats breakdown of that game? I’d love to see it. I looked quickly, but couldn’t find one.
Similarly, if their offense didn’t play as well as they played they wouldn’t have scored as many points. At that point it’s not a ‘key’ that the defense is the important part to winning against Oregon any more than it’s a key against any other team out there.
Oh. So we’re arguing two sides to the same coin?
If you want to beat Oregon at this point the only common thread is that you almost certainly have to be playing at an elite level. Whether that be with a great offense, great defense, great special teams or some combination of all of them. And even then chances are you’ll have to get some luck on your side.
I’ll buy this, but add that you can’t be weak at any one of those.
My suspicion is that if Oregon wins it’ll be because the defense stepped up and made some big plays.
And if Wisconson wins, it’ll probably be for the same reason. Wisconson might rank ahead of Oregon’s offense, but the difference is slight. Unless the game is played in the 50-point range (which I highly doubt it will be – these huge offensive matchups rarely have the point totals the regular season results would predict), then it’s going to come down to the team that makes a couple of key stops.
I find that that was the last sentence of your post to be fantastically ironic.
Actually I wrote about this
From FEI and S&P perspective, Wisconsin is lightyears ahead of Oregon as far as offense goes. It’s not even funny how good they are. I had originally thought that that was the case too – that Wisconsin and Oregon were pretty close but Oregon’s better D was going to carry the game. But no – both offenses compared to the defenses they’re facing are almost precisely the same value gap.
Yeah, I read that a couple days ago.
I was really shocked to see that Wisconson was as good as they are on offense. I’d seen the stats for Oregon before, so I didn’t think there was any way Wisconson would be better, and especially across the board like that.
They’ve had a good running attack for close to two decades. It’s amazing to see what a QB that’s actually a weapon instead of just a game manager can do there.
Wisconson hasn’t played anywhere near the level of competition that Oregon has. I admittedly haven’t seen them play much, and I haven’t checked stats for their games against better teams.
Reading how many times you mentioned Baylor in the offensive breakdown made me very, very sad.
Another way to put it is this, sundodger
If you say that it’s about the defense, why didn’t UW win against Oregon this year? They were held to fewer yards than USC, fewer points than USC. Heck, fewer drives than USC. Turnovers were the same too, I think (don’t quote me on that, just remembering two turnovers in both games).
So by your logic, that means that Washington should win, no?
Except…no. Because Washington’s offense got crushed. Because playing good defense doesn’t matter if you’re not playing good offense, and playing okay defense doesn’t matter if you’re not playing great offense (like Stanford)
Also, on the rushes
I’m considering IZRs, OZRs and sweeps as the rushes. The long lateral screens that sometimes get counted as rushes, sometimes as passes I discount. That’s the discrepancy.
Are you honestly saying there were 5 of those in the first half?
And even if there were, the math of 24 designed runs in the second half doesn’t jive. There were 47 “rushes.” There was at least 3 carries by Darren Thomas that I didn’t count, plus the incorrectly labeled fumble, plus at least one sack.
Even if all of those were laterals that you aren’t counting as runs, and there were only 18 called runs in the first half, the math only leaves room for 19 runs in the second half, and that’s if there were no more scrambles, laterals, or sacks. And, as I’m sure you know, the first three plays of the third quarter were Darren Thomas for no gain, Darren Thomas for no gain, and Darren Thomas sacked. By the box score count, there were only 14 rushes called in the second half, and that’s if none were laterals (taking out the Darren Thomas carries as I did in the first half).
Also, since we're going on this
I notice you didn’t talk about stanford in 09. How exactly did Stanford dominate Oregon’s D in that game? That was statistically one of the most productive days in the offense that year. I’m curious to see how you spin it so that Stanford had this dominant defense and Gerhart, the OLine and Luck weren’t the prime factors there.
Until a mad scramble at the end to close the gap,
in the last quarter plus, the Ducks had 250 yards of total offense. The Cardinal was up by 20 points when the Ducks finally got untracked.
Stanford’s offense was very, very good that day. But the D did a fantastic job of holding Oregon’s offense in check for most of the game, until a (very valiant) comeback bid by Masoli wasn’t going to be able to get it done. Oregon did most of its damage after the game was out of hand.
How did Boise State manage to beat the Ducks with a whopping 19 points and 361 yards of total offense?
I said boise beat Oregon with defense
And never claimed otherwise.
You really aren’t actually reading what I’m writing, are you? Like, not at all? You’re trying to make points off of me when I’ve already conceded them days ago. It’s quite disappointing; at least respond reasonably to the question.
As to Stanford/Oregon, it looks a lot like the USC/Oregon game in 2011. Oregon got dominated (by offense…hmm) early on and had to struggle to make a comeback when they were too far behind, and ran out of time. In both cases the defense of Oregon struggled a lot more than the offense did. In both cases teams had breakout stars on offense. In both cases, oddly enough, Oregon was coming off of a huge nationally recognized win that catapulted them to the top of the standings and wasn’t a requirement for winning the PAC.
But hey, let’s look at the actual game of the Oregon/Stanford thing in 2009 and see how many stops there were. Oregon started badly – a three and out – after two failed passes and a 1-yard run. Guess that’ ‘disruptive’. Their next drive was a fast 93-yard scoring drive capped by a 60-yard run by LMJ. Uh…ok. Next drive was a 40 yard drive stopped by a fumble in around the 30. Drive after that was another fumble (both fumbles were by receivers, in case you were wondering). And once again, there were almost no negative running plays; the worst was -1. Most running plays went for 4 or more. And then there was that 60-yarder. The big key? Oregon had 2 drives total in the 1st quarter. They had 4 in the first half, and of those 4 two ended up turning the ball over. They drives that ended quickly ended because of incomplete passing. Whereas Stanford held the ball on long, methodical drives and kept Oregon off the field.
So there’s the first half. Third quarter starts with a long Duck drive with multiple rushes, none negative, and a TD. Next drive has 3 positive rushes, then two penalties in a row (false start and OPI) and a punt. Next drive has Oregon score again – and again, no negative runs, multiple runs of 10 yards. The drive after that is the only defensive real ‘stop’ of Oregon, where Oregon had 4th and 1 and failed to convert at the 40. But that happened late in the 3rd quarter!
Oregon had two more drives in the 4th, both scoring TDs. Total time was 3 minutes. Stanford had 12 minutes of clock killing drives in that quarter. Total drives for the game was 12, which is about 4 fewer drives than Oregon normally does.
The reason Oregon lost was simple: they did not stop Stanford at all in the first half. 5 of their 7 drives scored, I believe. And they kept the ball away for long periods of time too. Oregon got a bit hot later, but those turnovers that killed drives killed Oregon. If you want to say that two fumbles are entirely ‘holding Oregon in check’ I guess that’s your perogative, but to me the game was decided because Stanford simply couldn’t be taken off the field and scored more often than Oregon did.
Oregon got dominated (by offense…hmm) early on and had to struggle to make a comeback when they were too far behind, and ran out of time.
Oregon’s offense in the first half of the Stanford game: 3 punts, a fumble, and 2 TD’s. I’ve already said Stanford’s offense played very well. So did their D. It’s as simple as that.
They had 4 in the first half, and of those 4 two ended up turning the ball over.
No. You simply make things up to help your argument. And really, you’re more into arguing than you are in having any sort of reasonable debate. Maybe it’s just me. Maybe Sundodger and Kalon are never going to be internet best buds (sniffle). But the insults, twisting words, and flat-out making stuff up really make what could be an otherwise good (but still heated) debate not worth the time.
Huh, sorry.
I screwed up. I looked at the drive values but not the play by play. You’re right.
it went punt, TD, punt, fumble, TD, punt, end of half.
I also meant when I said ‘4 in the first half ’ to mean ’4 in the rest of the half’. It was clear in the context that I knew they had 6 drives.
I’m sorry. My bad. Wasn’t my intent to lie there.
The end result is ultimately the same though – they significantly failed on 4 of their drives but more importantly they only had 6 drives. Whereas on Stanford’s drives they were 5 of 7. When you’re down 31-14 at the half and showing no signs of stopping the other team I don’t think that’s because their defense is doing a great job.
You’ll also notice that a lot of that was..passing plays. Much like USC. A lot of incomplete passes. A couple drives stalled by big penalties. There were a couple good sack to sack stops Stanford did too, but again – passing.
I guess here’s my point, Sundodger: if you want to say that holding Oregon to 42 points is ‘stopping Oregon with defense’ I think you’re wrong. That’s not what most humans would consider stopping Oregon with defense. It’s not even a particularly great day. The primary reason Stanford beat Oregon that day wasn’t their defense. It was the pressure they put on (and the scoring they put on) with their offense. I mean, at that point you can say any time anyone loses it was because the other team’s defense stopped their offense and ‘disrupted them’. That’s kind of meaningless, isn’t it? To put it in perspective, what Oregon did in 2009 as far as their offense was better than many of their games. Other teams did a better job of slowing Oregon down. What other teams didn’t do is score 51 points on Oregon.
Yeah, but USC should've been able to run the ball at will that day.
They were just physically dominant.
They got 125 yards in the first quarter, and only 125 the rest of the game.
The D made two great adjustments after the first quarter. They got out of the 4-4 they started in, which wasn’t working. And they took Ta’amu out, moved Elisara to the nose, and put Thompson in at the 3-tech for the first time. The d-line played pretty well after that. USC was one-dimensional with Corpse, but that one dimension should’ve been more than enough.
Their run/pass ratio stayed pretty much the same the entire game.
Here’s the play-by-play if you want to see. They were going to throw the ball some no matter what. They shouldn’t have, but that was their game plan.
It seemed like they stopped running, but UW’s defense buckled down and stopped giving up huge, gashing plays.
Aaron Corpse, Steen? Weren't you just going on about all that USC talent?
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon
Palmer was recruited by PC?
My point is that unlike other positions there was some driftwood on the depth chart.
He had 5 opening day starting QB's
2 won Heismans, 3 (soon to be 4) were 1st round picks, and all played in the NFL.
Saying that he can’t evaluate QB talent is idiotic. It’s made even dumber by your rationale of “well, one of the backups wasn’t as good”. There’s a reason they’re backups.
Having fun with basketball season? You sound angry.
Once again, my point was that unlike many other positions there was a huge falloff some years when the starter was out. When you consider the importance of the position and the depth of talent at LB, for example, it seems odd. It’s SC, they shouldn’t have the likes of Aaron Corpse or Mitch Mustain taking snaps.
Yes, lets look at that.
I don’t find that impressive, and certainly not impressive when you factor in his ranking coming out of high school.
Remember that kid Sanchez?
And remember how Carrol didn’t expect him to go pro early? Losing a QB like that is a huge blow. Corp was supposed to be the 3rd string QB that year.
And knock off the ad hominem attacks.
True dat
they were two down years for USC football though, as proven this season.
by datboyeddiep on Dec 7, 2011 11:07 AM PST up reply actions
Now we are getting somewhere . . . .
Do you know that Stanford fired their DC after year three? OH YEAH, and Georgia fired their DC (who was a close friend of Mark Richt’s) before last season. BOTH teams made a distinct improvement once they changed their DC’s.
Thank you for supporting the Fire Nick Holt cause!!
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
That was too easy.
We are paying more for less than anyone in the country. At some point it’s just embarrassing.
I've got good news . . .
I just saved a lot of money on my car insurance . . . . .
You ever feel like the guy who just shelled out $80,000 for a KIA??
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
What in the world does that have to do with pro-style offense?
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 3:38 PM PST up reply actions
Calling that a hijack isn't fair. The conversation spiraled organically.
Wroten is making us all frustrated but don’t take it out on the us, Casino
Just for "gits and shiggles"....
“I just saved 15% on my car insurance by switching to Geico”! You ever feel like the guy who just shelled out $80,000 for a “YUGO”?
Either way, I wouldn't dissagree that Sark needs to both recruit better on defense and prioritize it.
It’s high time the defense got an elite athlete, like the offense has benefited from.
That is my point....
He needs to allocate more studs to the defense..
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 8:25 AM PST up reply actions
we all agree.
… the notion that he can “win faster” with offense is a cannard. It is unlikely he’ll ever be able to score enough consistently to beat Oregon and USC, so you are following a strategy where the end goal is to be third best in the conference. Go the D route and at least you have a chance to attract the elite athletes on that side of the ball with a more novel and differentiated strategy.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon
I want many of you to practice this exercise
Whenever any of you write something about Coach Holt I want you to imagine that he is three feet away from you and basically within earshot of everything you are saying….good or bad.
You may not like the way his defense plays but like any person in the UW family he deserves a simple base line of respect.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
Contribute enough dollars and I can make that happen.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 8:21 AM PST up reply actions
I actually wasn't implying that he was fired and therefore watching with me.
Just that he needed to hear my pain on gameday.
This is an excellent suggestion;
it at least forces one to formulate a logical explanation for their opinion, which may be perfectly valid, even if emotionally charged.
Looking in from an outside perspective, I really see 2 key personnel issues Holt is struggling with, which have led to a number of the other issues that get so much discussion.
One is the disparity at linebacker. Butler, Foster, and Dennison have not just been great linebackers at UW, they have been great linebackers conference wide. But the drop off is spectacular. Could there be an element of other players unconsciously “mentally standing and watching”? Where they are counting on, these guys to make the plays, because they usually and probably will and did? Somehow, Holt has to find a way to get a consistent level of performance out of the linebackers as a group, or there will continue to be opportunities for opponents to exploit.
The other is with the makeup, and therefore schemes, of the line. John noted that “The team lacks size on the ends”. It looks like there is either a lack of vision of what kind of line he wants to go with, or the inability to put together the right pieces. It’s unclear if the ultimate objective is to play a fast line that overcomes size issues with speed, or if he is trying to have a big, physically dominating line. As a result, the Huskies seem to get caught in the middle, not always able to excel at either style. It becomes critical, because both approaches have been proven to work, and work well, but the different approaches require considerably different things out of both the linebackers and secondary. Either approach to the d-line has inherent vulnerabilities that require different supporting strategies.
By not seeming to settle on an identity for the defensive line, it seems the Huskies often get caught up in the middle of an exchange of matchup problems.
Andy Wooldridge, andy_wooldridge@yahoo.com
BuildingTheDam.Com
Go Beavs!
I should clarify that I suspect Holt probably does have a vision for his d-line
but he hasn’t achieved it, and I’m not at all clear (from 250 miles away), what it is. Much more of a question than a “criticism”.
Andy Wooldridge, andy_wooldridge@yahoo.com
BuildingTheDam.Com
Go Beavs!
Almost all of that is recruiting.
And like most teams out west, the Huskies have really, really struggled to land ready-to-play ends and tackles. The lack of bodies really exacerbates the problem.
Doesn't that make a realistic decision on the scheme to try to recruit to
one of the most important for the entire team?
Andy Wooldridge, andy_wooldridge@yahoo.com
BuildingTheDam.Com
Go Beavs!
Right
The solution in that case is to change the scheme. If your system only works if you get recruits that are hard to find and are in huge demand, chances are that it’s going to be a fairly dry stretch before you have any success. That’s one of the issues with Holt that I’ve seen; he does not appear to adapt well to what is available to him. That isn’t to say he’s a bad coach or that he’s incompetent, just that he’s used to succeeding with a certain kind of system – and it appears that he can’t get the people he wants for whatever reason for that system.
yawn
there is not a scheme problem. There is a significant problem at the DE position where UW has suffered from a long list of busts, injuries and flame outs to the point where we had to lean almost all season on two guys who are small freshmen, one guy who ought to be a DT, and one guy who hasn’t really recovered from a string of injuries that he’s suffered. Our biggest breakdowns can be traced back to those positions. In mid-season we made a “scheme switch” and dramatically increased our blitzing. This led to a few more sacks, but a bunch more big plays.
A second year for both Hudson and Shirley as rotation players, plus a year of additional health for Crichton, plus a return of our best DE from injury and I expect this problem to improve. Will we be great – probably not. But we’ll be serviceable with much more upside than downside in the kids that we are rolling out there.
We do need to keep filling the DE pipeline, though.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon
BS.
bq.there is not a scheme problem
NFL style schemes only work in college when you have elite (USC) talent. Michigan made a HUGE jump in defense when they fired their DC (along with the rest of the staff) a well known, respected, former NFL coach.
With the addition of Rich Rod and presumably June Jones to the PAC12, NFL schemes are going to be even less effective.
3rd and 1, DB’s 10 yards off the line of scrimmage. Either their is a problem with our scheme or our scheme isn’t being taught effectively to the players.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
it looks like Jones isn't going to ASU
Can't blame them.
Not an overly exciting hire, probably too much like Erickson (old).
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
What is Michigan's defensive scheme, Lear?
Oh yeah, it’s a 4-3. Same as the Dawgs.
Can you name an NFL team that runs a 4-3 under? Some do. Can you name one?
The solution in that case is to change the scheme.
NO!!!! Not at all. In no way. No.
The solution is to recruit better. And develop better. The notion that you scheme to a single class, or a couple of classes, is false. And not born out by any sort of history. At all.
You don’t changle what you’re doing by what the west coast produces for a couple of years. No coach does that. None.
Many coaches do it. Many.
Teams will switch from a 4-3 to a 3-4. Sometimes they’ll do it midseason. Oregon famously went to a 3-4 entirely because they had Ngata. It just made sense to do so.
And you said it wasn’t an issue of a couple years, that it was simply hard to get the kind of quality DEs and DTs out here. Okay – if that’s the case and it’s a perennial issue instead of a temporal one, why would you keep that scheme?
I guess, to me, if your scheme revolves around very difficult to obtain players it is not a good choice to go with that scheme. You can’t develop a Vince Wilfork. You can’t develop a Haloti Ngata. If you rely on something like that most of the time you’re setting yourself up for failure.
Now if you’re saying that there have just been some misses and we’ll get there eventually, that’s something different. At the same time that’s horribly depressing, because the best scenario in that case is to get someone this year (as apparently the last 3 years are wasted) and then wait for them to develop and contribute, which according to you really only happens until their 3rd or 4th years. Which means there’s at least 2 more years of bad defensive times, and that’s at best.
Okay – if that’s the case and it’s a perennial issue instead of a temporal one, why would you keep that scheme?
Because the issue isn’t really getting quality tackles to fit a scheme, it’s getting quality tackles, period.
Now if you’re saying that there have just been some misses and we’ll get there eventually, that’s something different.
They’ve gotten one in each of the last two classes, but that means that one is a true sophomore and the other is a true freshman. They got a decent under-the-radar type the year before, but he had a pretty significant broken and dislocated ankle at the end of last year that slowed him all season. There just hasn’t been a ton of players worth recruiting (something the Ducks know all too well, until landing Heimuli). And this is were the recruiting misses have really hurt. The Dawgs have finished second for a number of guys that would’ve really helped now and especially in the future. They managed to land more of those guys on offense.
Switching schemes doesn’t necessarily make things easier, just different. The example at Oregon was based on a great player at a tough position to fill (a 3-4 nose). Maybe the Huskies have that guy in Shelton. He’ll get his chances to show it in the years coming up.
I'm not for changing the scheme
but you MUST adjust the scheme for the talent you have on hand.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
The crux of the issue
I would hope that Holt was putting out the best defense he could based on the players that he had. But the defense wasn’t good. I would have liked to see a more attacking defense, but would it have been better? Did Holt adjust the scheme for the talent he had on hand? Some are arguing that he did, while others argue that he didn’t. We simply don’t know what the correct answer is. I’m on the side that he didn’t, and he needs to show marked improvement next year for me to change my mind (starting with the Bowl game). But I do understand those who argue that perhaps he did.
Benno
Agreed.
It’s very tough for fans to tell. The results speak for themselves, we didn’t get the job done and need to show marked improvement.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
One example
EWU – We ran A TON of our base formation, 4 linemen, 3 linebackers, 4 defensive backs. Part of it was QRich was hurt, either way the 500+ yards of offense make it clear the scheme was quite lacking.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Well
EWU isn’t the best example. I’m willing to bet that there was little to no gameplanning done against EWU by design. Based on the differences between the teams, UW coaches expected to roll over them without too many problems. Both the O and D were terrible. That was on Sark.
Benno
That was on everybody.
Coaches and players, even the event staff gets blame for that crappy performance.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
I made this argument a couple times
One glaring after the apple cup, where we saw a lot of mixed calls and player movement. Another thing about that was there was less rotation in the AC and yet formations were changed and adjustment and line calls were fluid with big noticeable performance jumps. Where that was earlier in the year I don’t know, seemed like they were ultra creative for the AC, maybe they did some in earlier games just not enough for me to notice, but for me, I liked it.
Last PAC-12 Rose Bowl winner not named USC....Washington
Where that was earlier in the year I don’t know, seemed like they were ultra creative for the AC, maybe they did some in earlier games just not enough for me to notice, but for me, I liked it.
They did a fair amount of it throughout the season. It’s difficult to say how much was scheming, players playing better, or WSU’s line being terrible.
One thing
If Holt was earshot from me during that OSU game this season, he’d probably kill me. I said some maybe not so nice things about our Mr. Clean looking DC that day. I think I may have posted some things on here and got myself into trouble.
by datboyeddiep on Dec 7, 2011 11:13 AM PST up reply actions
I have a "suggestion" for Coach Holt....
Can we teach some (fundamental) tackling techniques and philosophy to the point that the entire “unit” actually holds a ballcarrier… and not recievers who still blow by them in spite of 10-12yd. cushions? Hmmm? That would be “one” question for him I’d like an answer for.
That is a fair question
As far as the LB’s were concerned it was definitely a youth thing.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 8:58 AM PST up reply actions
Princeton
looked good against Wazzou though. Is that gonna carry over into our bowl game?
by datboyeddiep on Dec 7, 2011 11:13 AM PST up reply actions
Chris Wells
If I am not mistaken his name wasn’t Chris Wells it was Jason Wells. If I am wrong about this I apologize.
You're correct. And the entire defense was better when he was healthy enough to play.
I really wish he could’ve gotten a medical redshirt.
Wells
He definitely was one of those guys who raised the level of play that surrounded him. He was a huge loss….he came back for his final two games at about 70% and just rocked.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 9:12 AM PST up reply actions
It was Jason.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 9:11 AM PST up reply actions
One of my biggest concerns about our defensive coaching staff
Players that have been in the program the for all three years under Sark and Holt:
Defensive Line – Ta’amu, Tokalahi, Thompson, Crichton
LB’s – Dennison
DB’s – Fellner, Glenn, Trufant, Richardson, Gobern, Long
11 players that have been in the system 3 years, many of which have been 2-3 year starters. Out of these players how many have lived up to their potential and expectations? How many have exceeded our expectations? I’d say 2 players have met my reasonable expectations: Ta’amu and Dennison. I’d also say that only one of them exceeded my expectations.
What does it say when 1 out of 11 exceeds expectations, and only 2 out of 11 meets expectations? Yes, a few can rightfully blame injuries, but I don’t see players who have been under these coaches improving from year to year. To me, that is a great concern.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
I'll second this.
Where is the improvement, where are the guy who have exceeded expectations? Would you have us believe it’s all on the players,that every single guy has been so bad that none of the coaching has gotten through to them? That seems highly unlikely to me.
Why are we expecting different results from Holt, Nansen, Martin, et al? Show me something. Where is that glimmer of ability you can point to?
Dennison
was a late add and not a highly recruited player either. To lead the league in tackles exceeds anything most would have expected.
Don't give me ideas . . .
I’m tempted to create an alternate login, I can have another “person” to support my cause!
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Now that's a low blow . . . .
take it back!!!
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
I think Trufant has exceeded expectations by a farily decent amount.
Remember, it’s hard to play pass coverage when your defensive line is allowing 5+ seconds in the pocket on every play.
Totally agree
We have to remember this is Desmond Trufant not Marcus. Desmond was a 3* and has been a 3 year starter. He is not all conference but how many 3*’s ever are.
Similarly
Why were players recruited under Ty so successful?
That’s what really confuses me. I would expect that his players were fairly meh compared to the quality of the FR/SO class, but they routinely were the best players on the defense to the point where they were actual stars. To me, that says Ty couldn’t coach but he did a good job of recruiting and training, and Holt et al could do a lot more with them, but we haven’t seen that same kind of development emerge from the players that Sark’s recruited on D.
It’s a small sample size issue too, but it’s still a problem.
This is exactly right
Ty did have a decent eye for talent, but he absolutely could not coach the players up. The fact that Sark & co. were able to transform those players is a testament to their coaching ability. I also don’t necessarily see the argument that we haven’t seen the same development out of Sark’s players. You have to remember that the new guys are all still unfinished products. Also, because the cupboards were so bare when he came in, any injury or player that busts is felt that much more.
I think Ty was a poor evaluator.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 1:02 PM PST up reply actions
And the anti-Vince Lombardi
when it came to motivation.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
IMHO he also had a *gift* for inspiring players on game day,
and was more predictable as a play caller than old faithful . . .
Okay
If that’s the case, we should have a number of NFL-caliber players on the roster right now, who are going to perform just like the 2009 NFL-caliber players did. They’re the same age as them, playing with the same experience. For instance, we should have someone at least as good as Mason Foster.
Do we?
Do you expect anyone to play like that next year?
Yes. There are a ton of guys on the roster who have the potential to be All Conference type players.
To name a few: Price, ASJ, Williams, Sankey, Callier, Porter, Trufant, Parker and Jamora
Any one of those guys could have an all conference season next year.
a few more...
Shelton, Sample, Peters, Shirley
Maybe not next year, because all of those guys are currently either 1st or 2nd year players, but they all have all-conference potential as they mature.
And notice how many of the guys we listed are young guys.
we've been over this
Ty’s last recruiting class had a lot of busts, and Sark’s first class had a lot of busts. The promise for the future comes from his 2nd & 3rd classes, guys that are 1st or 2nd year players. There’s some promise there, but they’re young and most of them will need 1-2 more seasons to reach the point where they are above-average players.
just curious
kalon, are you a duck or husky fan? you have the duck mascot in your logo but refer to the huskies here as “we”
If Trufant hasn't met your expectations, then you have unrealistic expectations of a CB in the PAC 12 who plays with a shoddy DL as support
Glenn and Gobern were always depth, so I’m not sure how you are assessing them. Long has been injured – that’s not really a coaching issue. That leaves Fellner who has been serviceable in just two years and Glenn who, after also coming back from injury, has been a bright spot this year.
I’m not on board with your analysis.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon
So . . .
the opposite of my analysis would be that the players are overachieving. Would you agree with that or are we going to cry more excuses and blame our poor defense on injuries??
Tell me the truth, did Trufant meet your expectations this season? If so, we need to reevaluate our expectations. I have had low expectations for our defense for a decade, and they aren’t even living up to my low expectations.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
There are not enough players there to do the analysis you want to do. That is the point
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon
Excellent sharp retort
It’s always easier to call out a position group on defense, but the truth is that each group must help the others.
- D-Line is always key; they make linebackers look gook by making running holes small and short, and limiting QB?Receivers in time.
- D-backs can make D-lineman look good by shutting down receivers longer than play is designed for; gotta love a coverage sack!
- and as always LB’s have to fill running holes, holes in coverage, and to enough creative things (as required by scheme & coaches) to make it harder for opposing offense to know what is available
>>> blitz, zone blitz, fake blitz, special coverage, etc
always easy to knock CB’s when WR ‘beats’ him; not so easy to know if CB failed his assignment, somneone else failed (too much time to throw, etc), or if the the pitch & catch was just near impossible to stop.
Best Regards,
He was a 3 star recruit.
He’s played early, but I don’t think he’s exceeded expectations. He’s had his moments but he’s also looked like he’s young and the game is moving to fast for him. I’m not unhappy with him, but if that is the best you can point to, Holt and Martin should be fired right now.
The fact that there is no one to point to as a obviously exceeding expectations is a pretty damning comment about our coaching.
Stars don't mean what they should...("Got Middleton?"...)
But, to be fair….I think Trufant clearly exceeded our expectations even from his “star rating” standpoint (at least early on as a freshman) . Where I see concern with him is as I look for tangible or intangible improvement? He flashes brilliance on a hit on special teams at Nebraska…then he’ll fall off guys in open space? Or, sit back and get blocked out of plays on slow forming sweeps and hitches? Isn’t this stuff coaching related? Shouldn’t we all see progress in these repeated patterns of failure? I don’t think firing coaches Holt/Martin (now) is going to solve these problems (now) but, I do think we should see much more of a “beaver-ish” style of “coaching up” 2-3 star talent than we’ve seen with this staff! (especially for the bucks spent) You can’t just throw your kids under the bus and get a pass based on your assumed “Diplomatic Immunity” ( USC credentialism! ) Defense clearly is the goat…and no amount of “dressing up a pig” can cover that up. Fix it with the “bullets” you got!
Exceeded expectations relative to where they ought to be based on talent and age:
Shelton
Dennison
Parker
Fui
Jamora
You could also argue Timu, Glenn and Ta’amu if you want to consider age, injury and th context of the d-line
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon
At this point
we know that some of us would like to see new defensive coaches. We know that others are willing to give the benefit of doubt, time, and the lack of bodies to the same. Holt and MArtin and Co. are not going anywhere. So, we all need to either come up with new talking points, or run the risk of boredom and irrelevance. There has not been anything new added to this debate in some time.
At least John gave a clear demonstration of the state of things, and the idea that defensive recruiting has been in second place to the offense. If you want to place blame, seems to me it needs to go higher than the defensive staff. Until now, defense has not been the priority, and the price for that is being paid. Please do not respond to this with yet another Holt rant, we all know how some feel about that. No need to reiterate.
Mostly agree.
But . . .
Holt and MArtin and Co. are not going anywhere
Truth be told, this is what scares me the most. I think the majority of us would agree that at least one coach is not performing up to standards (I’m not referring to any specific coach). If Sark brings the entire staff back intact next year, I will have serious doubts about his ability to make the hard choices necessary to be a FBS head coach.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
I'm not sure why you think there absolutely must be a coach that isn't meeting expectations.
Overall we are still on an upward trend, and we met/exceeded most people’s expectations for this year. Next year should be and 8 or 9 win season followed by competing for the Rose Bowl in 2013. If we take a step back in either of those years I might agree with you. At this point I don’t think there’s any reason someone NEEDS to be fired if Sark thinks they are the best man for the job.
I'm sorry, but looking at wins alone is, frankly, stupid.
This was a soft 7 win team this year. If we took a step forward from last year, its a marginal one at best. The biggest accomplishment between the 2 years is that now with price we have a real QB at the helm. But that isn’t the type of across the board upgrade you would like to see year to year, it’s just one guy.
The offense is nice, but its not elite. It’s nowhere good enough to win a title with an average defsne let alone that ile of crap I saw on the field every Saturday.
And, after reading what John wrote today, I see no way we are competing for Roses in 2 years. None of the coaches have shown the ability to make do with less, I don’t see how that will magically change.
Agreed.
Wins are a team accomplishment. The team is made up of offense, defense and special teams. We win when our offense is playing well. Our special teams have been good enough. It’s our defense that is the issue.
Seen as how this is a thread about our defense, I think any discussions of wins and losses is miss placed. We aren’t talking about how the entire team has progressed, we are discussing the defense and what needs to happen to keep it from being our achilles heel.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Sark is going to use wins as the measure of progress for the program.
If we went 5-7 this year then I could see him changing coaches, at 7-5 I don’t see a reason for him too.
I agree that we win when our offense is playing well, I’d put most of our losses (outside of Nebraska) on the offense playing pretty poorly, not just the defense.
If our offense played great and we still lost games then maybe there’d be an impetus for a change, but that just hasn’t happened yet.
It's bad process to judge progress using wins as a metric.
Maybe if we had a 4 win swing but it’s just 1 win….If you want to know where the program is at you need to dig deeper.
I can understand that, but all it comes down to is wins.
We all agree that Sark probably doesn’t want to get rid of any coaches. Why would he feel he has to get rid of one when the team improved from last year to this year?
Do I have to spell this out???
You are talking about the ENTIRE team, yes the ENTIRE team has progressed, no question. I’m talking about guys who coach the defensive line, the secondary and the defensive coordinator, are their players progressing????
According to your logic, if we were 11-1, but our special teams gave up 10 returns for touchdowns, 10 blocked field goals and 10 blocked punts, all of which turned into TD’s for the opposing team, we shouldn’t fire the special teams coach because the team improved. I say BS.
Firing one single position coach is not a big deal. Do the job well or get fired, it’s GREAT motivation.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
I'm not neccesarily arguing that all of the position coaches should be retained, just that I think they will be.
Sark seems to appreciate the continuity of the coaching staff and thinks he has all of the right guys. He isn’t going to get rid of one if he doesn’t see a need to.
I don’t think Sark cares too much about the yardage and other things the defense gave up. The fact is that they played well enough for us to win 7 games, and gave us a shot in 2 others (OSU, UO). I’m just saying that Sark is going to evaluate the defense in a different way than we do.
That's what scares me . . .
Sark seems to appreciate the continuity of the coaching staff and thinks he has all of the right guys
I’m all for continuity, but if Sark thinks he has all the right guys, that would worry me greatly. I love Sark, he is doing a very good job, but if he thinks he has all the right guys, he might not be cut out to be CEO/Head Coach material.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Jupiter help us if Sark views it like that.
That is just a ridiculous way to view what contributed to the final W/L record. He can’t be that dumb. This team won because of it’s offense, the defense was an albatross all season long. Looking at the final record and reverse engineering cause is not an accurate way to assign credit.
Sark may have his reasons to (wrongly) keep Holt, but it can’t be that.
I'm so positive, you'll need AZT later.
The defense did its job against Cal, Utah, Colorado, and WSU. You can make an argument for Hawaii as well.
Care to look at the rankings of those teams?
I don’t want to give away the ending but I’ll give a hint: some of those teams are not the best at offensive performance.
averages are a pretty crap way of measuring here
Since all of those teams have crap OOC schedules.
But okay, let’s say that the reason that Washington won those games was because the defense did their job. Now, it just so happens that those were clearly easier games as far as the teams in the conference. Do you think that the reason the game was won was because of the defense? Against Colorado for instance – do you think that without the stellar play of the Husky defense that they win that game?
Trying to say the offense won a game or the defense won a game isn't really a productive exercise.
In each of our wins each unit played well enough. In the losses the opposite was true.
Obviously you can go a bit more in depth, but we wouldn’t have won any of those games without our defense playing at least somewhat well. The offense didn’t win a single game by themselves.
I'm not in favor of firing anyone
but Lear is right on this one. The overall record improved thanks to the surprisingly stellar play of Price. His performance was far above what I expected it to be, without him we would have struggled to become bowl eligible. I think we even discussed at the start of the year that the D should keep us in most games, and that as long as Price didn’t lose the game we would be a 6-7 win team. If he played well, most were anticipating 8-9 wins.
If that is the case, I don't think Sarkisian is judging just from last year to this year.
He’s likely also judging from when he first started to right now.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 1:41 PM PST up reply actions
Right.
And in the wins against Utah, Colorado, Cal, Hawaii, and WSU, the defense was more than serviceable. The offense didn’t win those games on their own.
HAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
the defense was more than serviceable
We made Cal’s QB look like a Heisman candidate and Hawaii’s QB threw for 388 yards. That’s not exactly “more than serviceable”.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Yes, they were.
In those games, turnovers were a key role, and they were generally forced turnovers, rather than gifts to the defense.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 4:16 PM PST up reply actions
you watched a different Cal game than I did
23-43 passing with 1 TD & 1 pick isn’t close to Heisman material.
23 completions, 349 yards.
Not great passing percentage, but 350 yards is not “more than serviceable”.
43 pass attempts, 33 rushing attempts, 457 yards of offense is not “more than serviceable”. That’s winning DESPITE your defense.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Total yardage is not, and will NEVER be an accurate indicator of performance.
Let’s not forget the purpose of ANY defense is to prevent the other team from scoring, not merely giving up yards.
Firstly though, before I get to the defense, let’s look at the Huskies offense first: The offense had their mistakes too: They fumbled twice and lost the ball twice, one of which led to a Cal touchdown, not to mention they missed a field goal. That’s at least a 10-point swing.
The stats that are more telling for a defense during a game is their performance on third downs, the average distance on third down, forced turnovers, forced punts, and most importantly, red zone scores-chances.
So with that in mind, the defense held the Bears to 7 for 17 on third downs, a 41% conversion rate, which is respectable. The average distance on third down was 7.56 yards. The Huskies forced two turnovers on downs, forced the Bears to punt three times, and allowed a touchdown to the Bears in the red zone on one out five drives, and allowed three field goals in the red zone out of five times. They also forced three fumbles, but sadly, they did not recover them. That’s pretty damn serviceable, especially when you factor in the fact that the Huskies offense gave the Bears a 10-point swing in the Bears’ favor.
Only problems were the mental execution, penalties, and a lack of pass rush on first and second downs. I say that because the Huskies allowed the Bears to get 12 first downs on first and second downs, coupled with three more first downs through penalties. This was primarily due to a lack of a pass rush, and avoidable penalties. The Bears got their remaining first downs on third and fourth downs.
But let’s look at one important fact:
The Huskies played stellar defense against the Bears in the second half, holding them to only three points on the Bears’ first possession, and forcing them to punt on all of their remainings possessions and forcing turnovers on downs on the Bears’ last two possessions. Short of forcing third and outs thereafter, that’s exactly what a defense is supposed to do help win a game – keep the other team from scoring – when the offense is not exactly at their best.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 8, 2011 12:07 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Nobody is saying that that's the ultimate goal.
But it’s not like the offense was stellar against good teams either. Both units had some amount of success against the bad teams on the schedule, and struggled (in some cases epicly) against the good teams.
The offense did very well against good defenses
Against Cal, one of the better defenses on the schedule the offense did just fine. Against Utah they did great towards the end. Against Nebraska the offense almost won the game despite the hole they were placed in.
They did struggle against Stanford, Oregon and USC, though the struggles against Stanford were mostly predicated on abandoning the run due to being down so much. If they don’t have to do that they’re still in that game. Oregon and USC were a buttwhooping; both teams completely controlled the lines of scrimmage on both sides, and nothing really could get started.
While I agree the Huskies' offense did well against Cal
They also did have their mistakes.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 8, 2011 12:01 PM PST up reply actions
offense, defense, special teams . . .
AND coaches
Coaches privide the scheme, the plays, and are responsibe for not just recruiting the right players, but also for developing and motivating them.
If it was just about talent, Texas, USC and a few others would ALWAYS win, and it just isn’t that simple.
Point made though, that it takes a complete team to challenge for conference championships.
Agreed.
Coaches are a VERY important part.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
"soft 7" is stupid. Every team has weaker opponents on their schedules
By that criteria, teams like Alabama, Wisconsin and Stanforrd would be illegitimate
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon
Have you seen our secondary??
If you have, can you send them back to the football field!
On a more serious note, we can’t play zone coverage to say our lives. How is it with 3 returning starters in the secondary, we still can’t stop anybody with our zone coverage? The worst part is the best player this season wasn’t any of the returning starters.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Zone coverage stops are mostly a function of pass rush, not coverage
Given enough time anyone will find holes in a zone. Zone coverage is mostly there so that you can’t get beat easily one on one and it takes time to get open. The way zone ‘wins’ is by causing enough delay on reads that you can get pressure.
And the Huskies were not good at all on getting pressure.
Agree
But watch our secondary, they don’t react properly to receivers running through their zones. They act like old video game players, “I’m going to go sit in my little spot and wait until the ball is thrown before I move”. They are always way late and hardly ever in the correct position.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
lol
What is the correct position then?
It’s easy to say that players are out of position, even when they are exactly right where they’re supposed to be at the right time as they’ve been instructed by the coach, but if an opposing player catches the ball in front of them, they are out of position?
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 3:41 PM PST up reply actions
Watch the games.
WR’s run right in front of our players and they don’t move or adjust to said WR until after they have caught the ball.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
I do watch the games.
I can tell when a player is out of position.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 4:17 PM PST up reply actions
Glad to hear it . . .
I’m glad to know that our secondary was never out of position, they just gave up horrendous stats.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Don't put words in my mouth.
I never said that they were NEVER out of position.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 7:42 PM PST up reply actions
One player can make a whole unit look bad.
There are, and have been, significant weak links in the secondary. You aren’t taking this into account.
Great point!
Defense is as much a team operation as offense.
We had 3 returning starters in the secondary.
When do we stop making excuses for them and start holding somebody responsible?
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
The rants are getting old...
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 10:21 PM PST up reply actions
Just like the defense?
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
I've been trying quite hard not to bring the subject up.
I’m tired of the arguing too, which is why I’m trying to stay away from discussing the defense on other threads.
This thread was bound to head south. You can blame Gekko for the offensive thread turning into a defensive discussion. That no good son of a . . . . .
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Yeah. I am accountable for that thread. This one, though? Not so much
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon
This one was doomed for rants and bad discussion
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
I'm not done with you yet . . .
what do you think about a monthly (or bi-monthly) Husky Stadium construction post similar to my last one? I’m loving the web cams and would be glad to keep others up to date as long as people think it’s worth while.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Great idea Lear
I’d certainly enjoy that.
by TualatinDawg on Dec 7, 2011 10:51 PM PST up reply actions
Great point about returning starters
The Defense will be better next year because of players like Parker, Ducre, Shelton, Fui. All freshman and sophomores
I can't tell if that is sarcasm or not . . .
There is a lot of potential in the people you listed, but we lose Ta’amu, Dennison, Thompson and Richardson, all very experienced players. Ducre will be better than QRich, but Shelton won’t be as good as Ta’amu for a few years, and no LB’s are going to be as good as Dennison. I’m saying that in one year from right now, we will be right here having the same damn discussion.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
This is where I'd disagree.
The only “irreplaceable” player the Dawgs lose this year is Ta’amu. Thompson is a tough loss, but he can be shored up with another year in the weight room for some guys.
The defense should be better next year.
I hope you are right.
I predict you’ll be disappointed.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Okay
Let’s assume that the above analysis by John is accurate; there’s no reason to think otherwise and it’s quite good.
Why hasn’t the defense improved? If you look at it, the only group that is ‘worse’ than before is the LB corps. Everything else is at least as good or significantly better. Yet the defense, as a whole, has gone to as bad of levels as 2008.
If that’s the case – if the players are largely the same quality or better and are doing better – why hasn’t that translated to on the field performance? I know that the answer for me is fairly clear, but I’m genuinely curious what y’all think. What other options are there?
Youth
I am taking a wait until next year approach. I could have totally different opinion come Dec 2012. I expect an improvement next year.
I know that feeling
I expect an improvement next year.
I’ve had the same thought the last two years, unfortunately nothing has changed. Honestly, the only difference between the two “factions” on our blog, some of us have run out of patience, some have not. Unfortunately, I have, and I predict we will have this same discussion in Dec. 2012.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
In all seriousness
I’m curious who people think we should bring in if were to let Holt, or someone else, go
Why do I need to tell you who the next DC will be?
Knowing who we will eventually choose or even who is currently available is irrelevant to my case that Holt should be dismissed.
Its completely relevant
Calling for the dismissal of a coach implies you think there is someone out there who can do a better job, and will actually accept an offer of equal or lesser value. If you don’t have a couple of ideas of who to bring in then you just get caught in the endless spiral or trial-and-error until you happen to find someone that works out.
It actually doesn't
All dismissing the coach says (or has to say) is simply that that coach is not doing the job that we are expecting them to do and we’re going another way.
But you have to have someone to replace them.
Look what’s happened to UCLA and ASU. They are both screwed because they fired their coaches with no idea of who they would get to replace them. You can’t fire someone without having a better option available.
I don't think UCLA or ASU are screwed
They’ve not found a candidate like Mike Leach. And for a few of them their primary candidate said ‘no’. It’s been two weeks. Give ‘em a little bit of time; hell, many coaches can’t even think about interviewing right now.
The more time that goes on the worse off they are.
A lot of the name candidates are gone. They are scraping the bottom of the barrel and at this point need to find a diamond in the rough. Needless to say their fan bases won’t be excited about this.
Coaches do interview at this time of year. I’m not sure why you think they can’t. This is the time of year when coaches jump ship to the next opportunity.
Getting turned down by multiple coaches does not reflect well on your institution.
Not to mention a lot of recruits are watching as well
If they wait to long they will miss on some of these guys as well as some that were committed earlier.
Last PAC-12 Rose Bowl winner not named USC....Washington
I didn't say they can't
I’m saying that they’re not thinking about it. A lot of coaches right now aren’t going to fly halfway across the country to talk to anyone about anything because they’re prepping for their bowl games. That doesn’t mean that they’re not available, just not right this second.
I agree it doesn’t bode well for the programs. I do think it looks bad, especially when you get the result WSU gets and their entire fanbase, the conference and the national media are covering you and everyone’s happy and joyous; it’s like being a kid on christmas and not getting a present while the neighbor kid got a pony.
But it isn’t the end of the world. At the end of the day both programs have the money and the potential to lure fairly good coaches to them. Well, maybe ASU. UCLA is probably fucked.
Haha, ASU does seem to be doing better than UCLA.
I still don’t agree that coaches aren’t available. If you want a head coaching job you get it before your bowl game. If you wait till after you are really far behind in recruiting players and a staff.
These schools do not want to be left hanging without a coach for over a month. It makes them look terrible.
WSU executed their coaching change perfectly. Moos knows what he’s doing.
Yep, no matter what
WSU and Moos handled things about as well as could remotely be expected; the only ‘bad’ thing was getting rid of Wulff and his sad meltdown that made me want to hug him.
But Moos executed it perfectly; no one even knew he was talking to Leach in Key West. He had his plan, he had his coach, he’d been talking about this sort of thing and what he wanted for a long time, he’s got a very clear vision and was able to execute it well. As far as ADs go he’s got to be one of the best in the country, especially seeing that he led Oregon to where they are now and now landed the hottest coaching prospect outside of Urban Meyer in WSU of all places.
Just crazy.
Yeah, that was pretty embarrassing
It’s still not quite so bad as having to rely on Jim Mora as your coaching candidate (giggle) but it’s pretty bad. Seriously, boosters, what the hell?
What's wrong with Mora?
He did a pretty good job in Atlanta. It’s not a guarantee, but he could be a very good college coach.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Except...
That he has never coached in college and says that he hates the process of recruiting…I like Jim but if he wasn’t a former husky he would just be another name floating around out there.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 10:22 PM PST up reply actions
UCLA . . .
seems like Washington under Barbara Hedges and Todd Turner, no real desire to win, just keep the status quo, just put the program on autopilot and let it slowly descend until it crashes and burns.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
he did a good job in Atlanta?
I remember a team that was loaded at talent and featured Vick – and never had two winning seasons in a row. That collapsed inexplicably and couldn’t get talent there (or couldn’t develop it well). that traded away Matt Schaub despite Vick needing a backup for at least 4 games a year no matter what. A team that apparently prided itself on its defensive prowess even though they were noo better than 15th overall.
Basically, Mora got carried by Vick. At least that’s what I think. That Mora was a complete idiot when it came to the press or to making comments or managing people is also a problem, but it’s more to do with his playcaling and decision making than his silly press conferrences.
Guess I'm a little older than you; can't even describe how weird it feels to see a Duck fan brutally mock UCLA,
and feel sympathy for an LA school . . .
My, how times have changed.
More seriously, don’t you think it’s even a little odd to be suggesting a big school IN LA with a very successful long term program should be lacking in resources?
giggle
Ya know, I really can’t remember when I feared UCLA. I feared USC, and Washington was the big boogeyman when I was growing up – but UCLA was just another one of those tough but not special schools. We didn’t do great against them when I was a kid but we didn’t do great against anyone; that wasn’t a big surprise. And yeah, tehre have been a few years since where they’ve shown signs of goodness, but it’s never been something that made me think they were going anywhere.
It’s a bit odd, but it’s based on real experience and comments from coaches who have not wanted to go to UCLA. You’re right – an AQ D1-school directly in the heart of one of if not the best recruiting areas in the world playing in a great (if somewhat dilapidated) stadium and having a huge alumni base and a historical trend of excellence SHOULD be good. It should be a destination. But for the last 20 years, the only way it’s been a destination is as the last stop in people’s careers.
And the administration doesn’t seem to care one bit about the football program. That’s the real killer.
I'm here to tell you . . .
that given our defensive performances, there are A LOT of better options.
What you are telling me is: Nick Holt is invaluable, if we fire him we are going to have a worse defense than what we have now (one of the worst in the nation)?? Sorry, we can’t get a whole lot worse, I’ll take my chances with the next guy.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Thank you Lear
I agree completely how could we get much worse – for $650,000 we are noting getting much bang for the buck.
by lorenzothedog on Dec 7, 2011 6:37 PM PST up reply actions
Don't care so much how he makes
When you constantly have one of the worst defenses in the nation, why are we so scared that firing Holt is going to make us worse and set us back? Personally, I don’t care if we are the 100th worst, or 120th worst team in college football, both are unacceptable.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
by Lear Pilot on Dec 7, 2011 6:40 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Ok, if you think there are better options that's great and I'm not going to argue that.
But I am saying that Sark should not be firing him unless he has a good idea of who will replace him and how that person will make things better. Kalon said the replacement didn’t matter at all, I’m saying it does.
Bill Moos . . .
is a great example. He knew he had Mike Leach lined up before firing Wulff. I’m all for planning ahead and having things set up before cutting somebody loose. That being said, the worst possible excuse for keep a coach is “well who would you hire in his place”, if the DC position became available Sark could have 100 resumes on his desk by the end of the week.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Moss did a great job
So did Arizona….ASU and UCLA are just a total mess…did you here that Cozzetto is a candidate at ASU…why would you fire Erickson to hire Cozzetto…lol.
Honestly I doubt that ASU hires a coach who is as good as Erickson.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 10:25 PM PST up reply actions
Couldn't agree more!
Could you imagine the reaction of the ASU boosters, who (according to reports) nixed the hiring of June Jones, and then ended up with Cozz as their head coach?!?!
Funny how Arizona and WSU both hit the ball out of the park, while ASU and UCLA are tripping over their own feet. If I were a head coach candidate I’d be staying far away from either school.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Then you agree that a plan for improvement is a prerequisite to a firing?
If so, you agree with most here.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon
A plan, yes.
A guaranteed replacement, not so much, but it doesn’t hurt.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
if we're having this same discussion in DEC 2012 w/ 9 wins and a bowl game,
I’ll be sitting quietly in the corner with a smaile on my face . . .
So I guess the question should be asked..
Here is Baylor, with 9 wins and a statistically worse defense than ours, we would trade places for that? Would that be ok with everyone, to be worse on D and have 9 wins? I honestly don’t know how I would feel about that. I guess I would be thinking, if we had a better D maybe a BCS bowl could have been in the cards.
Last PAC-12 Rose Bowl winner not named USC....Washington
Exactly.
Being 9-3 would be great, until you consider that you could of been 11-1 or 12-0 with a “serviceable” defense.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Again, that doesn't make sense
Remember, the evaluation is based on how it’s different from the prior year. And it’s based on performance, not on potential. John was saying that every single unit save the LB is better than last year. Doesn’t matter about youth or not – they’re all better.
So why hasn’t the defense played better? Youth doesn’t make sense if you believe the above analysis. If you don’t, where is he wrong?
One possibility, I suppose, is that the LBs are SO BAD that they bring everyone else down, but I don’t think that’s the case.
Why hasn’t the defense played better?
It is simple and i will answer it in detail on Thursday morning…
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 7, 2011 10:26 PM PST up reply actions
I can't wait!
Last PAC-12 Rose Bowl winner not named USC....Washington
by DAWGFATHER91 on Dec 7, 2011 10:36 PM PST up reply actions
Great write up John... as usual
I have run out of words for explaining how I feel about the D, as well as run out of patience. I can’t think that it matters though, we all know who’s decision it is to make, we all believe in this person to make the correct one as well. Whatever that decision is I will have to take, I side with whatever Sark wants to do, no matter what for next year. For the most part I’m a little worried about the direction of this side of the ball, not only for what currently we have to deal with but with the addition of some new coaches that have had some high powered offenses now in the PAC 12, you have to admit, it’s looking scary. I want to be an optimist (except after a game where we give up 450+yds) about our youth, I want to believe we can get better, then I look back on the past 3 years and realize, when I watch this team it feels like it’s not even close. Maybe that’s my fault, maybe my expectations are set too high, maybe I believe in the hype way too much during spring and fall ball. I don’t know, I’m beyond frustrated with the blowouts and lack of performance or progression that I don’t feel we are making. Hear me out, I’m not blaming this all on Holt, I think the blame is enough to be spread out all over the place. If Sark can’t trust his guys to make the team better then he better be able to look somewhere else to help out the situation and make moves where needed. I don’t see Holt going anywhere, and maybe he needs to help out with these assessments of the assistants to ensure his job remains secure. Going forward I don’t have the answers, all I know is it feels like a change is needed because the status quo looks bleak.
Last PAC-12 Rose Bowl winner not named USC....Washington
by DAWGFATHER91 on Dec 7, 2011 5:44 PM PST reply actions 1 recs
That 'bout sums it up.
Very well said.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
I don't know if you are the smatest guy posting here, but you *d*mn* sure have the
Best Sign In Name!
In my awesome Latka from Taxi voice...
“Thank you very much”
Last PAC-12 Rose Bowl winner not named USC....Washington
No.
Some of us will be pissed, some of us will blame it on the youth and inexperience, but thanks to Willingham, Baer and Donatell, we as fans don’t have the balls to want assistants fired anymore.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Just settle for this and be happy you have it, you ungrateful poop head.
I'm so positive you'll need AZT later.
by Steen on Dec 7, 2011 7:06 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
Sounds like a WSU philosophy!
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
That's the way some guys sound.
I know you don’t mind making changes w/ position coaches, but some guys here seem to think continuity is far better than finding a better coach.
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Change? Bah, we might sink if we change anything!
Full steam ahead into that berg!
I'm so positive, you'll need AZT later.
I believe so, even though Baylor is an elite offense this year
It’s just another straw that’s being added, but does it matter? The blog is here for us to voice our opinions, and yes, I too will probably blow up and curse and feel like complete failure is all we can hope for on D, but that’s how I am. Very passionate about when I see this team get it’s teeth kicked in. I think you can tell who the reactionary people are on this blog and it comes out in our posts. However I don’t think everything we say can simply be dismissed as a blow up moment then place stats trying to influence us to change our opinions on the state of said defense. There are plenty of valid points made during this season on our D’s performance throughout the year. I think everyone wants there opinion validated on here because we are all passionate fans of our team, I just think more people need to understand that as a whole.
Last PAC-12 Rose Bowl winner not named USC....Washington
How about 500?
That’s their average. 600 isn’t even that bad, it’d only be 100 more than their average. If our Offense is playing well too it could easily happen.
So then we shouldn't get upset unless the D gives up 800?
That thought actually makes me ill.
Last PAC-12 Rose Bowl winner not named USC....Washington
I'm not going to tell you when to be upset
The ability of the offense we are playing has to factor into an evaluation of the defense though.
I really don’t care about yards too much. If we hold them to less than 40 points I’ll be happy.
Yeah, yards aren't so great
If you turn it over 5 times so they have 30-yard fields your average yards per drive is going to look REALLY impressive. But you’ll still have sucked hard.
On the angst of the defense
I do think that one thing that fuels the angsty defense is that for better or worse Washington is a defense-minded fanbase. Don James and the massive success he had speaks to that. They’ve always been that way for as long as I can remember; you didn’t fear Washington because of their crazy scoring offense (that was WSU), you feared them because they beat the hell out of you, your children and your dog.
I think a lot of people want that identity. And right now, the team has the precise opposite of that identity.
by kalon on Dec 7, 2011 7:08 PM PST reply actions 2 recs
I wasn't following UW during their national championship year, but I started watching in '97 and have been ever since, so I've been more used to UW having good offenses more often than good defenses.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 7, 2011 7:58 PM PST up reply actions
You are a deprived soul.
That was about the time we started to lose our blue collar identity and the slide south started. Are you related to Jonah?
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
You feared them because they beat the hell out of you, your children and your dog.
Rec for that golden line.
I'm so positive, you'll need AZT later.
Rec'd
you feared them because they beat the hell out of you, your children and your dog
and they killed your Duck too!
"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
Oh, totally
Oregon had a lot of reasons to hate Washington back then; lots of small and big offenses along the years, lots of slights that the powerful can put on the powerless. But nothing was as bad as those incredibly talented teams showing exactly where the up and coming Ducks were in the grand scheme of things and how far they had to go.
Which is kind of funny when you think about it; just 2 years after James left Oregon beat Washington and went to the Rose Bowl. There really wasn’t as much separation as we thought there was (or if there was, it was easily erased by losing James and having probations) but it still felt at the time like this impossible mountain to climb.
Great post man
I think that is what we all are looking for. A defense that beats you up along with a O line and rb that beats up your defense.
Clobbered on pass and perimeter
The strength of our defense was in the middle, between the tackles. We’ve got to fix our coverage and we’ve got to get better on the perimeter. Maturity should help in these areas. When you start redshirt freshmen at D Ends and the 2 OLBs are freshmen, we played like freshmen. Opponents continued to attack our youth spots.
All I saw was purple
Please
Please someone use a metric other than total yards. Oregon has a good D but they still give up lots of yards. Yardage is not the best or a comprehensive method to determine the worth of a D.
Roast Duck is a delicacy.
Except it matters because of the strong correlation between yards and points
… The fact that the ducks O puts their D on the field a lot is relevant context, but it is still the job of the D to get back off. Obviously there is no one perfect stat.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
@chrislandon
I'm actually curious
That’s the common thought – that yards equals points – but quite often you see truly dominating performances where yardage isn’t a great indicator. For instance: LSU Oregon, LSU had only 260 yards of total offense. Oregon had 340. Point differential wasn’t remotely like that. In other games (especially in the NFL) you’ll see a team that gets down early throwing it all over the place while the other team is happy to trade yards for time until you get to the red zone. So you get these absurd 51/70, 450 stat lines but they score significantly less than the other team.
It’s certainly an okay proxy for points scored, but there are a lot of flaws with it as well. Oregon’s D is a good example of a team that cares more about stops than yards and is a possession-oriented team (in other words they’re fine giving up 10 yards on first down if they have a chance to make you lose 4 and get a long 2nd and 3rd). Other teams want to win every single down regardless. Both methods can work, but they produce wildly different stats.
Oregon has had a really good defense the last couple of years
The yardage totals don’t seem as impressive, but when you realize that the pace of Duck games means opponents get more possessions than in just about any other game and you look at what opponents get on a per-play basis, you realize just how good the Ducks are on defense.
Yep
Also, since Oregon’s ahead a lot of times they force teams into longer fields (because of kickoffs instead of punts) and lots of passing to try and catch up. That does end up giving up yards, but not as much in the way of points. Stanford in 2009 and 2010 are both good examples of this, where Stanford had to pass a lot more than they were comfortable with and it cost them. LSU to a certain extent as well; LSU was held to fewer YPC than any other game save Alabama this season.

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