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The Monday Morning Wash

How long has it been since any of us have seen that dominant of a Husky victory?

How important was it for guys like Nick Montana, Bishop Sankey, Micah Hatchie, James Sample, and Tom Tutogi...etc... to get a full quarter of live Pac 12 action under their belts?

You want to build quality depth? Get your young players on the field to gain experience in the fourth quarter.

Don James used to do that back in the day quite a bit. He was pretty generous with playing time once a game was decisively decided. Steve Sarkisian's Huskies are getting close to being at that level in his third year at the helm. It was good to see them beat a team they were supposed to beat in such a convincing manner.

Washington soundly trashed Colorado in every single phase of the game on Saturday and it was fun to watch. This is a team that is visibly getting better every week and they better be because next up is 6th ranked Stanford on the road in Palo Alto.

Knocking off Andrew Luck and company is going to be a tall order. Stanford is a solid football team that knows how to win. This is going to be a great test for both teams which will serve as a pretty accurate gauge of where these two programs are currently at.

The Huskies popped into the rating this week at #24 but nobody is going to take them seriously until they knock off a highly ranked team in a game that matters in the second half of the season. This weeks game definitely qualifies since it is a conference match-up that could decide a Rose Bowl berth.

Steve Sarkisian described his team last week as a mountain climber that was achieving new heights with every step. He said the challenge is to not look up or down but to keep the focus on the next step. This team has been doing exactly that.

Vegas opens with the Dawgs being 20 point underdogs to the Trees. If you like to gamble on football games they are just begging you to bet the house on this one. Washington can compete with Stanford. Washington can beat Stanford.

So how tough is Stanford? Bud Withers of the Seattle Times has a pretty good idea. Stanford has won 14 games in a row which is a school record. The Cards have held their last 12 opponents under 20 points. Stanford has won its last nine games by at least 25 points

Ted Miller of ESPN thinks that Washington is ready for a big test. Interesting factoid...neither Washington or Stanford have beaten a team with a winning record in 2011.

Rivals/Yahoo asks why Washington can't steal the division title away from the two presumed favorites?

SPNW reports that the 2011 Huskies have become the first team in school history to score 30 or more points in the first six games of a season.

Pac Ten Power Ratings

1. Stanford...Stanford started slow against Washington State but took care of that with a dominating second half which buried the Cougars. The 6th ranked Cardinal get their first real test of the season when 5-1 Washington visits this weekend.

2. Oregon...The Ducks are mortal and they still have a couple better teams than ASU left on the schedule. Kudo's though to them for pulling away for the victory without LMJ and Thomas in the lineup. Next up is hapless Colorado on the road.

3. Washington...The Huskies are off to a 5-1 start. After a sputtering start the Dawgs have matured quickly and put together three quality conference wins in a row. We find out exactly how good this team is on the road this week in Palo Alto.

4. Arizona State...The Devils gave the Ducks a game but they didn't have the staying power late in the game when it really mattered. Chances are decent that there will be a rematch at the end of the year in Eugene. Up next is a perfectly timed bye week.

5. Southern California...The Trojans are coming back after a week off to face traditional rival Notre Dame in South Bend. This should be a close game between two programs headed in opposite directions. The Trojans need to develop a defense if they expect to beat the Irish.

6. Utah...Solid win for the Ute's on the road against Pittsburgh evens their record at 3-3 and helps keep bowl hopes alive. Next on the schedule is a trip to the Bay Area to play a slumping California team.

7. California...It really mystifies me why California is playing so bad. There is plenty of talent on this team but for some reason the offense isn't productive and special teams play is terrible. Tedford's seat is starting to get hot and if this team wants to bowl Utah is one of teams they need to beat.

8. UCLA...The Bruins face off on the road against Arizona in one of the stinkiest Thursday night match-ups of the season. A win in Tucson means the Bruins are 4-3 which puts them in a good position for some sort of bowl which would probably save Rick for another season.

9. Washington State...The Cougs were respectable for a half against Stanford. This week is Oregon State at home which is an absolute must win for the Wulff regime.

10. Oregon State...I really thought that the Beavers would beat BYU and much to my surprise they didn't really get close. They travel to Seattle for a true battle of the basement this week against Washington State.

11. Arizona...The Wildcats fired their head coach heading into the bye week. This week they attempt to knock off UCLA at home. The Bruins are as bad as the Wildcats in some ways so this could get interesting.

12 Colorado...I like a lot of things about this team. You can tell that they are well coached and have some good schemes and game planning. What they don't have is enough talent and depth. The only way that gets solved is out on the recruiting trail. Up next are the mighty Ducks and a third straight clown stomping.

Huskies Fan Confidence Poll

Last tallied on 10/12.

14|1:|0|100&chxt=x,y&chco=5098c7&chd=t:57

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Comments

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20 points to much

I do not get the point spread – Stanford has beat no one to date. WSU hung with Stanford the first half and then ran out of man power in second half IMHO. The huskies have the depth and players to hang with Stanford. Stanford will not run on the Dawgs like they did against WSU. If I was a betting man I would take the 20 points and bet the house.

by lorenzothedog on Oct 17, 2011 5:32 AM PDT reply actions  

Washington has not beaten a team with a winning record either…but I think we have played better competition overall.

Stanford is good….really good…and this is going to be a great test.

UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle

by John Berkowitz on Oct 17, 2011 5:42 AM PDT up reply actions  

Agree

we have not beat a team with winning record. Also agree we have played better competition. I think the road games against Nebraska and Utah will serve us well and have prepared us for this type of game and what it takes to win. Stanford has not had this type of test. Played Duke and San Jose State out of conference and 4 of the worst teams in the PAC 12.

by lorenzothedog on Oct 17, 2011 6:31 AM PDT up reply actions  

I heard Vegas has been taking a beating lately

Of the top 7-8 teams, I think they have all been covering the spreads at something like a 95% clip, Vegas is getting rolled, might be why they put the line so high.

Last PAC-12 Rose Bowl winner not named USC....Washington

by DAWGFATHER91 on Oct 17, 2011 7:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yep, that's right

It just doesn’t make sense that Stanford has the same line against UW and WSU (20 points). Vegas was getting burned, and now they’ve gone the other extreme.

Obviously, the value is on the Dawgs this weekend.

by Euler on Oct 17, 2011 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions  

We may not have a win against a winning team at the moment,

but Washington has beaten both Cal and Utah, who are both 3-3 and play each other this weekend. That will give them one win against a winning team. I also think of the teams we’ve played so far, Hawaii and Eastern Washington are pretty safe bets to finish the year with a +.500 record.

by Mind of no mind on Oct 17, 2011 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

Vegas wants equal money on both teams, if Im not mistaken.

So the line tells you as much about what Vegas believes public perception to be, as it does about how they view each team. It would seem that the odds makers think the public is going to be heavy on Stanford.

by Steen on Oct 17, 2011 7:02 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yes, Steen is correct.

Whether the top 7-8 teams (as Dawgfather91 put it) are covering or not, the take is still the same for the sports books. They structure the lines on every game to get as close to 50% coverage on each side as possible. Because the house take is essentially $10 on every $100 bet (i.e. the bets are usually -110 meaning you have to bet $110 to win $100) they are guaranteed to profit regardless of which team covers. Provided they can maintain near equal betting of course. This is also why we see drastic changes in the lines sometimes because as money comes in the line is adjusted to encourage betting on the other side.

by JoeinFW on Oct 17, 2011 4:44 PM PDT up reply actions  

41-0

It could have something to do with last years game. Stanford embarrassed us in every possible way. Our offense is much improved, our defense is the same. My hopes for Saturday are not very high.

"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"

by Lear Pilot on Oct 17, 2011 8:43 AM PDT up reply actions  

After last weekend

I have high hopes this weekend. I know it was CU but we fully dominated them. Like we were supposed to. Now we will have to play another flawless game to beat Stanford but, i think we can.

by CODawg on Oct 17, 2011 8:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

My concern is Stanfords size and physical style

We have made great improvements since last year, but Stanford is so big and physical, I’m not sold on our ability to with stand four quarters against such a physical and talented team.

"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"

by Lear Pilot on Oct 17, 2011 11:05 AM PDT up reply actions  

I was thinking the same thing

That and 116th best pass defense against Andrew Luck. It is going to have to be a shootout for us to keep it close.

by SeaHuskies on Oct 17, 2011 9:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

we're not 116th vs. the pass

Can we all please stop referring to passing yards per game as our default measure of passing?

by kirkd on Oct 17, 2011 9:43 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yep....

We are actually in the middle of the Pac 12 as far as pass defense efficiency goes.

UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle

by John Berkowitz on Oct 17, 2011 10:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

I will bet

Wont be the house but I will take $10.

by CODawg on Oct 17, 2011 8:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

Couple typos

You put that Withers “has a pretty food idea” instead of “good,” and that “We find out exactly how good this team is on the road this week in Colorado” when you meant Stanford. No big deal, but I thought I’d let you know.

by The Ancient Mariner on Oct 17, 2011 6:40 AM PDT reply actions  

Thanks..

UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle

by John Berkowitz on Oct 17, 2011 6:47 AM PDT up reply actions  

Ted Miller on ESPN PAC12 blog
For example, Washington QB Keith Price has been playing on two “sprained” knees. Of course, everyone knows Huskies QBs are particularly tough. A Duck may react differently to a “sprained” knee.
 
Kidding! I’m kidding!

Hahahaha

Last PAC-12 Rose Bowl winner not named USC....Washington

by DAWGFATHER91 on Oct 17, 2011 9:18 AM PDT reply actions  

I really liked

How Sark kept his foot on the gas at the end of the first half, using the timeouts to set up on more field goal before time expired. That is the mentality we need to not let teams back in it when we get up early.

by SeaHuskies on Oct 17, 2011 10:28 AM PDT reply actions  

Couldn't agree more.

"Winning isn't everything, it's the only thing."
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"

by Lear Pilot on Oct 17, 2011 11:06 AM PDT up reply actions  

Way to take care of business

This was a really good win for the Dawgs! We went up against a depleated team and just beat the stuffing out of them. Solid game all around, even though the D looked bad on both opening drives. Take those away and I would have no complaints.

Looking ahead to Stanford, the D is going to have their hands full. Matching up against Luck and that OL is going to be a challenge. Hopefully Ta’amu and the rest of the DL can hold thier own, and that blizting can create the pressure on Luck. The 4-man rush just isn’t able to do it. 2nd real test for the Dawgs, and I hope they perform better than the first one! Limit the mistakes and we have a good chance!

Benno

by Benno on Oct 17, 2011 11:26 AM PDT reply actions  

Just read on Seattle Times blog comments that Castro decommitted?

Any truth to that or is it just someone running their mouth on the blog (which could be the case). I know the blog comments are a joke, just wondering.

by kschimke on Oct 17, 2011 11:41 AM PDT reply actions  

Duck recruiting sites he switched over the weekend and he’s confirmed on his twitter. Sorry for the lack of a link.

Life is about growth. People are not perfect when they're 21 years old. - Bill Walton

by NEP on Oct 17, 2011 11:52 AM PDT via iPhone app up reply actions  

Where did you get the rankings from?

Stanford is #5 in the coaches’, #7 in the Harris and AP, #8 in the BCS, and all over the place in the computer polls.

Where did you get the #6 ranking? From a funky average?
:)

by Euler on Oct 17, 2011 11:53 AM PDT reply actions  

Agreed

We need to be +2 in turnover margin to win this one IMHO. However, even if we are even, I see us covering the spread.

by SeaHuskies on Oct 17, 2011 2:08 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't see much mystery in asking why the Bears have sucked.

Maynard can’t hit the broadside of a Keenan Allen. Okay, maybe of a Keenan Allen, but the broadsides of others are safe from any football-related contact. He is comically inaccurate at times and his mechanics are equally, uh, rofflemao. That’s a word, right?

Teams (for foreign blogs): Seahawks, Mariners, Huskies and Broncos. Yes, I recognize the contradiction; I was born in Denver.

by THolt on Oct 17, 2011 2:53 PM PDT via iPhone app reply actions  

Interesting factoid to accompany your interesting factoid.

Stanford has never PLAYED a team with a winning record.

by JoeinFW on Oct 17, 2011 4:50 PM PDT reply actions  

The line has gone up

Bob Condotta said the line went up from 20.5 to 21.

Formerly the fan known as Denvdawg.

by Randall Floyd on Oct 18, 2011 10:20 AM PDT reply actions  

amazing

Not enough people betting on the Dawgs.

by kirkd on Oct 18, 2011 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, but ...

this game has a lot more attention nation-wide than other games. I think the East coast likes Stanford a lot more than the Dawgs. Stanford has made a killing this year covering the spread. Why not bet for Stanford to cover, at least if you’re not a Dawg fan?

Formerly the fan known as Denvdawg.

by Randall Floyd on Oct 18, 2011 1:26 PM PDT up reply actions  

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