The Monday Morning Wash - The Five Most Important Factors
Hard to believe that we are only four days away from our first bowl game since 2002. As Paul McCartney and John Lennon once wrote it has certainly been "A long and winding road" for the Huskies over the past eight years. The team may not be playing in a Rose Bowl or National Championship game but this years invitation to the Holiday Bowl is a great reward for the staff and players who have worked so hard to clean up the mess of the past.
Nebraska is going to be a really tough test. The last time these two teams played the Huskers were at a completely different level. It is going to be really interesting to see how much or if the Huskies have closed the gap between the two teams.
The five biggest factors (after losing 56-21 in the regular season there could be 100, but hey - lets cut the list down a bit) that Washington needs to reverse going into this game is the play of Jake Locker, Cort Dennison, line play on both sides of the ball, the special teams, and the play calling of Steve Sarkisian.
Jake had arguably the worst day of his career against the black shirt defense. His Heisman campaign died in Husky Stadium that day. For Washington to have a chance at winning this game Jake needs to play loose and be spot on.
Jake is more than capable of a better performance in this one and I think he is taking the redemption angle to heart in this one. A great performance in this game can vault him back into the top five of the NFL draft. I think a healthy Jake is capable of doing just that if he has more than 1.5 seconds to get rid of the ball.
Cort Dennison missed the earlier game with a concussion suffered three days before kickoff. His absence was a huge reason that the defense struggled against Cornhuskers. Cort gives 110% on every play but what is more important is how he leads and makes his teammates better. Having Cort on the field will make a difference for Washington in this contest.
Washington was dominated up front the last time these two teams played. The Cornhuskers are simply bigger, stronger, and faster on both sides of the ball. The hope is Washington has matured enough over the season to be able to make up some significant ground in this area.
The special teams were a disaster during the first part of the season. One announcer called it the worst special teams performance he had ever seen by a division one football team in his entire life. We saw improvement throughout the year but this group never became what you could call rock solid. The Huskies need to be at the very least competitive in this part of the game to be able to stay with Nebraska. they can't give up points and field position on special teams.
We all love Coach Steve Sarkisian but his play calling left us scratching our heads at times during the season. Early on it seemed he was trying to make this team something it wasn't. Washington needs to concentrate on running the ball against the Huskers because you are not going to beat this team through the air. Of course to do that the offensive line needs to show up and open some holes. Count on Sark to provide some inventive scheming to open up some holes for his offensive backfield.
Vegas favors the Huskers by 13-14 points from the onset so this is predicted to be one of the more one sided match-ups of the holiday season. Experts think the rematch will be closer than the initial meeting but Nebraska will prevail. Tough to argue with that because the Huskers have a decided edge on both line going into this one.
I think Washington is going to play this one loose as a long neck goose and the Huskers will be the tight team this time. Nebraska is traveling to San Diego for the second time in two years and they are playing a team that doesn't excite them. In the minds of most Cornhusker players and fans they would rather be at home practicing against the scout team than playing Washington again.
The obvious edge in this contest is that Nebraska seems uninspired and the Huskies have nothing to lose. That is the exact type of recipe that inspires upsets. I think Nebraska is in trouble the minute they step on the plane to go to San Diego. This is a team in danger of just showing up and going through the motions. They have everything to lose and basically nothing to gain. Washington on the other hand is in a exact polar situation.
Psychologically the Huskies just may have an advantage in this one. I remember the 1978 Rose Bowl when Washington showed up in much the same position as they are today. Nobody expected them to win. Everyone expected heavily favored Michigan to crush them but with an emotional edge going in, a superb game plan, and some tricks at the end Washington was able to pull off the upset.
Back to reality for a second. This team isn't nearly as good as the 1978 Rose Bowl team. They don't have the beef on the lines like they had back then. This team is till a few years away from playing at a peak level. They do have some pretty talented skill position players and if they can gather some early momentum I like their chances. when one team really doesn't want to be their and the other is thrilled to be there anything can happen.
Both Washington and Nebraska visited the San Diego Zoo during team outings on Sunday.
Odds and Ends
The Huskies expected to be practicing on grass but because the fields in the area are so soggy from rain and torn up they are practicing on artifical turf. Hugh Millen thinks the team that will have the biggest advantage is the one that makes the best selection in the cleats. That makes a lot fo sense because if you don't have the right traction on a muddy field it can mean a long day
Ryan Tolar tweaked his knee a bit at practice this weekend but is expected to play. Talia Chrichton had a small set back but it is still possible he will play which would be a huge boost for a defensive line which is down in numbers headed into this game.
Chris Robinson is back to practice and is expected to play. cody Bruns may be recovered enough to hold for kicks. Sean Parker still hasn't been cleared for contact. greg walker has been suffering from back spasms but is expected to be able to play. Johri and Zach Fogerson are in San Diego but are not expected to play.
Quotes
Quote of the Week: Sark on Jake Locker - "I hope he does better...if he doesn't we're in trouble."
D'Andre Goodwin - “I’m excited for the game. Excited that we’ve turned this program around as seniors and as a coaching staff and I’m just excited to have another game to play.”
Q Richardson - “If you don’t loosen up and you’re all tight, you’re going to make mistakes, so you just have to out with no fear and just play like we know we can play.”
Sark went on to say he was surprised that TE Chris Izbicki quit the team. Chris has two quarters left at school and he will graduate from the UW.
Sark thinks Devin Aguilar is 100% back and ready to step up his game after suffering from nagging injuries during the season. James Johnson who has sat out most of the year has also looked pretty good during post season practices.
Bowl Politics
The Alamo replaced the Holiday as the number two bowl for the Pac 10. The reason is simple...they didn't increase their pay off and ESPN which holds all the cards demoted them. The Holiday Bowl says they didn't want to raise ticket prices and didn't want to get into a bidding situation.
The game will sell over 60,000 tickets this season in the middle of a deep recession so perhaps they made the right decision while still being on track to become a BCS Bowl in the future. Even though they get a 6-6 Washington in a weird quirk this season the bowl is happy because Washington is buying a lot of tickets.
The Insight Bowl in Phoenix which features teams from the Big 12 and Big 10 is definitely on Larry Scott's target list when the contracts with those two conferences expire. It pays around the same amount as the Alamo Bowl and now that the Big 12 has lost some of its luster by retraction you can consider that game up for bid.
The Pac 12 added the New Mexico Bowl to its post season line up. I don't think I would mind visiting Albuquerque in during the holidays. Sounds like an interesting road trip even though this is far from being a premier game and venue....what can I say...it beats Fresno and the old Raisin Bowl.
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On Sark and Bowl preparation
johnb, another of my biggest questions I had when Sarkisian was first hired is about to be answered, although I think I know the answer already by the press reports I have read so far. My question is " what type of Bowl Game coach will Sark be?" Is he a Lambo/ Neu type who viewed the Bowl as a reward for the players, and thus have a good time (96 and 2002 Sun implosions against Iowa and Purdue after much reported partying) or a DJ type whose philosophy was more the fun is winning the Bowl Game and practices reflected that. Interestingly enough DJ was 10-4 in Bowls, while Lambo and Rick were 1-3 each.
In alI the articals i have read so far, Sark appears well into the DJ camp in preparation. While we might still lose this game, I doubt it will be from lack of concentration/preparation. This also acknowledges Bo Pelini’s preparation skills too as he is 3-0 in Bowls. This past year, when Sark has had more than a week to prepare, the UW is 3-0, (USC, UCLA and Cal). I believe both teams will be well prepared and ready, but like you and everybody else is saying, how much more do the players want it will most probably be the determining factor after superior athletes (and we know who has the advantage there.) If we are hungrier, that can negate the advantage Neb presently has on us in physicality. With that, error free playing is critical for our success and let Jake just play ball without thinking too much and putting all the weight on his shoulders.
Let the good times roll, GO HUSKIES
I guess we are going to find out
He appears to be more like DJ but the proof will be the performance we see on the field Thursday night.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 27, 2010 11:10 AM PST up reply actions
Correction
I think sark is doing great and love where the program is going!! Wouldn’t Sark though be 2-2 in games with more than a week to prepare?USC ucla were wins and Oregon and byu loses? I could be wrong though
On a side note sark is 3-1 vs so cal teams 5-3 vs all of California teams and 2-0 vs the cougs. That is where I think sark exceeds
my expectation. He wins conference games. I think an oregon win is in the not so coming!!!!
by DAWGFAN87 on Dec 27, 2010 11:49 AM PST via mobile up reply actions
BYU wouldnt really count as there isnt really any film for the first game
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
by Gekko Mojo on Dec 27, 2010 12:53 PM PST via mobile up reply actions
I think we played ore one week after AZ.
UCLA we had 12 days and Cal 9.
Mistakes
can be eliminated. One bothersome mistake is a lineman lining up in the backfield, illegal formation, inexcusable and should be able to be spotted by the coaches upstairs. See it often but notice they wait for a big play or TD to call it. Maybe a long piece of string could solve this one.
Penalties on KO and punt returns: push in the back. illegal block can kill field position but they seen to be chronic and unstoppable. Why?
Dropped passes, don’t try to do it all yourself. Solution catch then run not run then catch. Simple concentration. Way too many drops.
Holding, eliminate need for it with quick passes and running game. 10-15 yard penalties are drive killers for the most part and give the opponents a decided field advantage..
Eliminate the mistakes that are easiest to improve on and play sound fundamental football and capitalize on your opponent’s mistakes.
Interception opportunities should be there but catch the ball and touch down a knee if it helps to keep the football.
Easier said then done we will see. But we can make our own breaks and accept NU gifts willingly.
Support our student athletes, have faith in the coaches! "...it's how you play the game!"
56-21
I’m not convinced that score is indicative of anything. Locker had the worst performance of his Husky career. Some of that can be attributed to what the Black Shirts were doing, but some of it was internal.
Let’s not forget that Nebraska lost to Texas on national tv at home. That win would’ve been huge for the Huskers. On the other hand, in convincing fashion we literally blew by a Ucla team that smoked Texas, who beat Nebraska. I think we have a legit chance of upsetting Nebraska on thursday night. Go Huskies! WOOF!
All I saw was purple
I think a lot of it was the absence of Dennison on defense and the entire team playing incredibly tight. When you play tight it means you don’t have confidence in what the coaches are telling you to do. something in the back of your mind tells you to freelance.
I still think Nebraska will win by more than two TD’s but it will be a better game. It all starts on the lines and they have a better set of lines. If Jake has only tow seconds to make a play we wont have success.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 27, 2010 5:03 PM PST up reply actions
I challege you to a game of The Transitive Footballs!
we literally blew by a Ucla team that smoked Texas, who beat Nebraska
Actually, Nebraska beat Iowa State, who beat Kansas State, who beat UCLA, who beat Texas, who beat Nebraska, who beat us.
In other words, the Cornshuskers are twice as good as we are.
by Bugs Dodger on Dec 27, 2010 7:00 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs
I have been known to be wrong, Dawg, and
now that I look at that in the sober light of morning, it occurs to me that that may mean that we are twice as good as Nebraska.
I know what you are, but ...
Nebraska’s only half as good as Nebraska.
by Bugs Dodger on Dec 28, 2010 11:52 AM PST up reply actions
I think we have a chance only if crazi picks the Huskers. Time for crazi to give one up for the team.
I don’t know about Crazi but John is going to pick the Huskers and hope he is wrong.
UW Dawg Pound - SBN Seattle
by John Berkowitz on Dec 27, 2010 5:04 PM PST up reply actions
Shootout...
… we have to accept that our DLine is going to get mauled. Nick is going to have to motivate those kids on every play because its not so much about “stopping them” as it is slowing them down and trying to goad them into FGs and a few turnovers. If he can do that, then Sark is going to have to get our offense cruising. Realistically, we’ll need 31 points to have a shot to win this game. We are asking alot of our D if our O can’t post those kinds of numbers.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
T of P be key
We are asking alot of our D if our O can’t post those kinds of numbers.
The O needs to help the D by letting them rest. If we can keep the ball on the ground and out of the hands of the Washington Receiving Corps (sponsored by Crisco!), if we can figure out a way to run for positive yardage and to convert third downs then we … uh … then we … we wouldn’t be Washington if we could do all that, would we? Rats.
So, uh, yeah. Bring on the shoot out … ?
My simple feeling on what's going to be necessary for the Huskies to win is this:
The defense is going to have to win the game for them.
Covets: Mark Ingram, Marcell Dareus, Prince Amukamara, Rodney Hudson, and Owen Marecic.
but, what do they have to do to win it for them?
… I think the flow of the game is going to be be like the USC game where we really couldn’t stop them, but we were able to keep pace point for point and to create a few extra possessions for ourselves through a missed FG and turnovers.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
I don't think so.
Unlike USC, Nebraska has an, if not an elite defense, a borderline elite defense. UW was able to maintain a point-for-point pace with USC because USC’s defense was overmatched and lacked the overall team speed to contain Locker.
I’ll touch up on what the defense would have to do to win the game for them; I am getting ready for work as we speak.
Covets: Mark Ingram, Marcell Dareus, Prince Amukamara, Rodney Hudson, and Owen Marecic.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 28, 2010 7:47 AM PST up reply actions
I agree with Carl
UW will score 24 points tops with their offense against Nebraska’s D. So It really comes down to our D and special teams finding some way to keep them under 24.
It's on Locker
I’m with Gekko here.
The D can’t do it by themselves and it’s unfair to lay it on the D. I don’t think that our D can’t not do it, but they can’t do it entirely by themselves. If Locker and Polk can find a way to stay on the field, making small plays, scoring first downs, eating at that clock and resting our D, then we will win. We saw what they could do against the Ducks. The D is be prepared to win the game right now, but the O needs to give them a fighting chance by not exhausting them before before the fourth. If Locker and Co go three-and-out every possession, it’s game over right now, but if the O can step up and take some of the punishment that Nick’s crew has been absorbing, the Holiday Bowl is ours for the taking.
And you know what, Dawgs? It should be on Locker. That’s why he came back. And that’s why we’re going to win.
So let’s stop acting like somebody already died around here. We can win this game.
We really can.
I promise.
BOW DOWN TO WASHINGTON!
If it's on Locker....we're toast
I like Jake as much as the next guy but he’d have to put up a performance he has yet to put up in his UW carreer (considering the competition). I just don’t see that happening.
I don't think it has to be his greatest performance ever
despite the fact that I believe he will be capable of bring just that, and that Sark and his supporting cast will come prepared to help him deliver.
The performance that Locker turned in when we played the Huskers last Septemeber was not indicative of the level at which Locker can compete with this Husky team. If his teammates can conspire to give him the kind of opportunities he saw against the Trojans and that Price saw against Oregon, then we have a chance. And I’m not talking about the big plays either. He needs to think small. He needs to be smart. He needs to control the ball. Locker and Sark need to run an offensive game that will allow NIck’s guys to catch their breath.
The Blackshirts are not all that and the Huskers flushed their offense down the toilet a long time ago.
We can do this.
by Bugs Dodger on Dec 28, 2010 12:01 PM PST up reply actions
BS Snos...
… If Jake goes for 300 / 100, we’ll win. He’s done that a handful times in his career against good competition, including this year against USC. Last year against #11 LSU, he threw for 320 and rushed for 50 accounting for all of our scoring. He won the game vs #3 USC with his arm and legs. Against a ranked Cal team, he ran for two and passed for three TDs. His 300 yds in total offense beat a Boise St team that hadn’t lost in two years. Likewise, he shouldered the entire offense in the next game against Ohio St that had us leading at the half.
He’s had a few stinkers in his career – Oklahoma in ‘08, Oregon in ’09 and Nebraska this year come to mind. But to say that he’s not capable of huge performance against top competition is not borne out in the records.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
Pretty big "if" Gekko
Most of your examples are just as indicative of our D playing very well – #3 USC (13 pts), BSU (10 pts.) & Cal (10 pts.) as it is Jake playing well. And I agree, he did play well but my original point was that our D and special teams need to hold NB to around 24 points or it will be tough for us to win. In other words if we let Nebraska score 56 again I wouldn’t bank on Jake being able to score 57.
yes, of course that is true...
.. but if he puts up 250 passing and 50 rushing, there is a pretty good chance we’ll do enough on offense to win.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
Disagree and... disagree.
It’s unfair to put it on the defense, which consists of eleven guys, but you’re willing to put it all the the shoulders of Locker, and that’s not unfair, how?
If there’s a real key offensively, it’s in the running game. I have a hard time believing that Locker will be effective without a running game giving him support, considering their pass defense is one of the best in the nation.
I realize what I said about the defense earlier, but that was a simplified feeling on what it’s going to take to win the game. There are a ton of other factors that need to be taken into account, such as the surface of the field, the weather, offense, special teams, etc.
Covets: Mark Ingram, Marcell Dareus, Prince Amukamara, Rodney Hudson, and Owen Marecic.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 29, 2010 8:10 AM PST up reply actions
I’m not saying that the other 21 guys can sit down. Everyone needs to show up and turn in an exceptional game, and I think Locker has the biggest room for improvement. I have a feeling that you might be the only person who was satisfied with his performance against the Huskers last time around.
The receiving corps certainly needs to help him out not so that we can rely on the pass but so that we can open up the run, and our D needs to play to the level that they did with Oregon, but the key, I think, is Jake being dynamic and adjusting as best he can for what the OL can’t give him. I don’t think that the D is capable of rising to some occasion in which they turn in a dominating performance. Not our defense anyway. But I do think that Locker and his supporting cast can rise to the occassion and rest the D so that we don’t see them collapse the way we saw them collapse in the second half against the Ducks.
I’ve been watching this Husker team all year. They are not invincible and they are not elite. We are not the team we hoped we would be when we met them in September, but they are not the team that they thought they were after that game either.
Martinez has had a crummy season by the standards of Nebraskan expectation, but he has three more to redeem himself. He has not yet developed Locker’s resilence and character, and he can be rattled. I am further hoping that Pelini does not take us seriously and that he will keep Martinez in to give him experience rather than going to one of the backups. That’s been his MO this year even when it’s been the wrong-wrong-wrong-wrong thing to do. Pelini is stubborn and the Huskers don’t adjust well. That should help us. Like I wrote above, if Martinez lays a turd tomorrow? Three more years for his redemption.
Jake Locker has one more game. This game. He came back to play this game, and his teammates know that, too.
We’re going to win and I am so doing the Bugs Dodger I told you so dance all over this blog.
okay
but first you must promise to use them responsibly.
by Bugs Dodger on Dec 29, 2010 12:30 PM PST up reply actions
Your feeling is dead wrong, and I wouldn't try to guess what I was or was not satisfied with the last time around if I were you.
Question: How closely have you paid attention to the Huskies’ offense? They don’t establish the pass to set up the run. It’s the opposite way around, hence the importance of the Huskies’ running game.
The defense doesn’t need to dominate. They need to play disciplined and execute. Consistently. One play at a time. A defense can win games for you without being dominating. Martinez has shown that he can have problems protecting the ball. The Huskies will need to exploit that, create opportunities, and hope to cash in on them. That’s one factor. I can go on and name others for what the defense will have to do, but I’ll digress.
I can agree that Nebraska is not invincible. They’re not elite? How do you figure? They are a top-10-caliber team who are 13 points from being undefeated. They have one of the best defenses in the country, along with an offense with one of the strongest running games in the country, not to mention, they also have one of the better special teams in the country.
Covets: Mark Ingram, Marcell Dareus, Prince Amukamara, Rodney Hudson, and Owen Marecic.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 29, 2010 2:31 PM PST up reply actions
"lacked the overall team speed to contain Locker"
… I have to disagree with this sentiment. USC is putting several of its defenders into the NFL – at least three starters from this year’s squad will go in the first three if not two rounds. Not a sign of a team that lacks “overall team speed”. Nebraska’s D is not all that separated from USC’s talent wise and their depth has been thinned out due to suspensions. They play a different scheme with the hybrid DB, but any scheme can be attacked with a stellar game plan. Offensively, the emphasis on the run game matches USC and Nebraska. I don’t see much hope of us stopping it. We can only slow it down and hope for some breaks.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
Seriously?
Your basis is the amount of talent that they are sending to the pro’s? Mighty subjective basis if you ask me. That does not tell me that they did not lack overall team speed. Last I’ve seen, three guys who are going to the pro’s do not make up for the speed of the other eight players.
I have the game on film. USC did not respond very well to UW’s horizontal attack primarily because, as a collective, they lacked the speed to attack laterally.
Just so you know, players tend to get selected primarily based on how they PLAY when they go pro, not on how fast they are.
Covets: Mark Ingram, Marcell Dareus, Prince Amukamara, Rodney Hudson, and Owen Marecic.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 29, 2010 8:16 AM PST up reply actions
I'm glad you have the game on film ...
… and I just watched in on Christmas Eve (as Bugs and I discussed in another thread). I saw a Cover 2 scheme that did not adjust to the underneath and sideline routes that were the staple of the offense (probably because of that big TD pass to Aguilar that beat the MLB in his deep zone assignment). I also saw Shareece Wright run down Jake from behind to force a fumble out of the end zone on a long run play. Looked plenty fast to me.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
Shareece Wright is one player. He is fast, but he does not respresent the entire defensive unit.
TEAM speed. When I say that, I’m talking, as in, the collective whole of the defensive unit.
I’ll have to re-watch the game to verify the amount of Cover 2 and what and how many variations were used. I’ll also have to check out what kind of formations they were using. Monte Kiffin is known for running a Cover 2 scheme, so that’s easy. I also remember very little adjustments were made on their behalf. That said, their defensive scheme did not fit well with their personnel.
Chances are if the MLB was deep in zone, he was playing in a Cover 3, not a cover 2, but I’ll have to see the film to verify that.
The Cover 2, especially the Tampa 2, excels when there is a collection of great overall team speed, so that the pass rushers limit the time the quarterback has as well as the ability to close the seams/gaps by a defensive player when a pass is completed. USC, for all their talent, did not have great overall team speed, which is why the scheme did not fit their personnel.
Covets: Mark Ingram, Marcell Dareus, Prince Amukamara, Rodney Hudson, and Owen Marecic.
by Carl Shinyama on Dec 29, 2010 2:41 PM PST up reply actions

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