If I was a betting man: Week 2
I like football. A lot. That said, I'll be the first to admit that it takes $50 to get me to care about the outcome of the Northeast Arkansas State Tech. vs. Southeastern Mississippi State at Mobile (NEAST vs. SEMSUM to the hardcore) game. Here's a guide, so you too can get a grip of cash this weekend, while actually enjoying mid-major football. Or get drunk, your choice.
The verdict is after the jump.
Disclaimer: I am not a professional handicapper, I am merely a college football fan who happens to gamble. This is a weekly fanpost that I'll be trying to get out on Monday or Tuesday after most of the lines open for the weekends games. If you take my advice and place a bet, please don't come knocking on my door asking for your money back. I'll be long since passed out. Odds are that I also lost my money and drank copious amounts of beer to ease the pain.
Last week I really bit the big one, so lets hope for a smooth recovery. Otherwise we'll be looking at a 1 week series after my wife kicks me out on the streets. Luckily for me (and all of you), week 2 is full of tasty non-conference matchups that are perfect to fatten your wallet. Without further ado, the nominees are (spread in parentheses).
The Locks:
North Carolina @ UCONN (UNC by 5): UCONNmay have home field advantage, but that won't help with the loss of Mr. Universe, Donald Brown. UConn struggled with lowly Ohio (not Ohio State...just plain old Ohio) last week, so look for UNC to light it up and lay the smackdown. UNC 41 UCONN 14
Bowling Green @ Missouri (Mizzou by 17): Mizzou looked smashing, led by Chase Daniel's heir apparent Blaine Gabbert, in a 37-9 romp over a very underrated Illinois team. The defense looked quite good and should only get better against a flat-out overmatched Bowling Green team at home. This one could get ugly and not even due to the locale of the fan bases (ZING!). Mizzou 55 Bowling Green 21
USC @ The Ohio State (USC by 4.5): USC looked simply dominant after working out the kinks in Saturday's beatdown of SJSU. Ohio State looked simply average after giving Jim Tressel a heart attack in Saturday's gentle massage of Navy. USC marches into the Columbus and takes no prisoners on the way to the Coca-Cola presents the Kinko's National Championship Game...brought to you by Nike. USC 48 OSU 21
The Likely:
Purdue @ Oregon (Oregon by 13): The lines have already started moving towards Purdue in this "who cares" matchup. Oregon looked in shambles last week, led by 1st year head man Chip "Just call me Tyrone" Kelly. The Oregon Defense held up when required but allowed Boise to drive at will during the first half. That won't fly against a Purdue team who's really being slept on. Auzten can be a tough place to play, but expect Purdue to smash Chip and Co. in the mouth and shut the hippies up. I like Oregon to pull out the victory, but it will be close and Purdue is the livest (is that a word?) of dogs this week. Oregon 24 Purdue 21
UCLA @ Tennessee (UT by 6.5): Last week's cupcake openers for both teams didn't really prove much. What it did show me is that neither team deserves any respect. Tennessee should have a high enough octane offense to break loose in this battle of defensive oriented teams. Lane Kiffin pisses people off, but the kids seem to like him...he'll have the Vols ready enough to load a small highlight reel that we can play at his memorial (after he is mobbed by all of Knoxville on Sept. 19th). Tennessee 28 UCLA 13
Record on the season: 0-0, no time to get Week 1 done so we'll start on Week 2.
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Comments
Oregon won't cover, but...
I have been spouting off that Purdue would beat Oregon…a closer examination shows that the while the Boilermakers are pretty good on offense they are terrible on defense.
Oregon needs to truly be in full collapse mode to lose this one.
I think UConn is hyped up
alot because of the team from two years ago. They can be a solid team, but UNC has had the recruiting building blocks firmly in place for the last 3-4 years. They’re good across the board.
Sorry
What I meant to say was I like your UConn vs North Carolina Pick….you were supposed to read my mind!
I like your USC pick :- )
I think tOSU will give ‘em a good game. Something scares me, all of the sudden- I don’t know why. I’m not placing a wager on this particular game. Last weekend’s games earned me over $1200. (thanks in large part to the Oregon/Boise State and BYU/Oklahoma games. I easily covered the Mizzou/Illinois and thanks to Florida not covering their Vegas spread- I won big time!)
Ucla will put up a good game, I think Tennessee barely eeks out a win though. (boy, do I want the score to end up what you have B Money)
And ooh! that Purdue/Oregon game? What’ll happen? Oregon comes out hitting people like they owe ‘em money? Or Purdue comes out like a bowl of Rice Krispies? (snap! crackle! POP!). That one’s almost on even money, B Money! I might just stay away from that one, myself.
Good luck to you! You got some solid picks and some sound reasoning behind ’em all.
"As for being a Raiders fan, I wouldn't wish that fucking shit on anybody." [the venerable OTS at Roll Bama Roll}
I don't buy the UCLA hype
and Tennessee, we’ll we’ve seen first hand what an energetic new coach can bring to a team. Plus with their defense they can be a legit bowl team, UCLA I think will have to sneak into anything they get.
tOSU looked lost, Pryor is good, but I would take Barkley over him anytime. Barkley is flat out ready for D-1 football and he’ll show it against the secondary that couldn’t seem to tackle Navy’s triple option.
I got PU/UO as almost a dead heat. Purdue’s D looked abysmal last week but Oregon offense looked like a pile of crap to be sure. LaMichael James is a capable backup to Blount, but we haven’t seen enough for me to call him a gamer. It could be my heart taking over, but I just see Purdue smacking em’ in the mouth early and Chip losing his cool again. The 2nd half of the BSU game was very poorly called. He had a chance to get them right back in the game and he squandered it. Oregon should win, but It won’t be by much so I’ll place a bet on Purdue to cover the 13 points.
Purdue vs. Oregon
It all depends on “non” football related stuff. If the team rallies together and unifies because of last week, Oregon wins no contest. But if things in Eugene are as bad as advertised, the players won’t give the effort necessary, and Purdue wins no contest. Either way, should be a fun game for dawg fans to watch. Drama, drama, drama . . . .
"Legends are made on the shores of Lake Washington"
"BOW DOWN TO WASHINGTON"
I'm not as sold on your USC pick.
.. 48 pts on the road against a ranked team with a freshman QB who was known in HS to throw interceptions?
This game is going to be a lot closer than that. I hope USC does win handily thus giving UW a chance to sneak up on them … but I’m not seeing that happen.
Damn, my eyeball tastes good.
OSU's D did not impress me
and the Trojans have a big running game. Looks like I’m being proved wrong. I hope USC can pull it together, they’re really not impressing me at all.
Fresno St vs. Northwestern and. . . .
. . . .Stanford and Wake Forest? Those two games are quite interesting to me. In a big way.
"As for being a Raiders fan, I wouldn't wish that fucking shit on anybody." [the venerable OTS at Roll Bama Roll}
Fresno St. plays Wisconsin
with Wisconsin as a 9 point favorite at home. I like those odds, with Brandstater gone and the swagger that the dogs normally have seeming to be subdued, Wisconsin could use the size and athletic advantage to beat up FSU.
Stanford at Wake Forest is a tough one. The oddsmakers have it as a pickem right now (with a couple giving the standard 3 point home field advantage to Wake), so if you feel strongly about either team this would be the game to lay some dough on. I however feel like Stanford showed a one dimensional offense in their win over the Cougs last week and if Wake can key in on Gerhart they could be in for a long day. On the other hand, Wake looked pitiful against the Baylor Bears…can’t bode well for their psyche this week. So rambling aside…I would take…my money and keep it in my pocket and wait a week.
That's right, it's Wisconsin
And . . . . . .I’m still cracking up! Good. One. (“. . .I would take. . . my money. . .”)
Just awesome!
I’m laying down some dough. I’m taking Fresno St. and Wake Forest- laying some serious dough.
"As for being a Raiders fan, I wouldn't wish that fucking shit on anybody." [the venerable OTS at Roll Bama Roll}
by BixBeiderbecke on Sep 7, 2009 6:23 PM PDT up reply actions
is it bad
That I’m both a gambler and indecisive?
by B Money on Sep 7, 2009 9:31 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
One of these days. . . .
. . .I’m gonna wanna seriously meet up with you. You are a crack-up! You can have your own show, I’ll pay to see it, damn straight.
Funny funny man, you are.
"As for being a Raiders fan, I wouldn't wish that fucking shit on anybody." [the venerable OTS at Roll Bama Roll}
by BixBeiderbecke on Sep 7, 2009 10:06 PM PDT up reply actions
Stanford could pay big
I just can’t pull the trigger on a Brandstater-less FSU.
It looks like money is coming in on Wake if you wait for a couple of days, you might be able to get 5 or more points on that Stan. Bet.
by B Money on Sep 7, 2009 9:40 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
Yup, that's exactly what I was planning on for Wake
Wisconsin hasn’t done anything for me, too much of the same thing from them guys. They have great recruiting, terrible turnover and development. I’m not so sure how many lives they’ve got- this year. . . .I’m not giving them any. (at least until their 5th game).
Fresno State however. I’ve learned, in a bad way, never to underestimate a Pat Hill coached team. (I did some bio-chem work at UC Davis, they’re no slouches. Remember, they beat Stanford a few years back had that QB that played for the Jets)
Believe it or not, the Fresno State game is easier on my conscience than the Stanford game. I’m hedging (indecisive) after hearing some weird news in the Wake camp. There’s no denying Stanford’s running game, their QB worries me. If Skinner is on, he’s one of the better ACC QB’s, those 3 picks agains Baylor did the team no favors whatsoever. I’m waiting on this wager, hopefully something will come out of their practices that will allow me to fork out the dough. You’re right, this is a money game next week.
"As for being a Raiders fan, I wouldn't wish that fucking shit on anybody." [the venerable OTS at Roll Bama Roll}
by BixBeiderbecke on Sep 7, 2009 10:19 PM PDT up reply actions
Didn't Wake Forest just get beat by Baylor?
A very talented Baylor team but still. If the PAC 10 wants to gain respect…these are the games that we have to win. I will be rooting for Stanford so that when we beat them it’ll mean so much more…I think I am taking North Carolina, Stanford, and UW!
Whats the line on the Michigan/Notre Dame game? Cant look it up at work. When I try I get the eyes of Satan from my Fire Wall…they are very scary.
it opened ND at 5.5
but it looks like alot of Michigan money is coming in. It’s down to 3/3.5 at most vegas books. I like ND in that game, Rich Rod might have a tough go of it this year, and I’m not sold Forcier yet.
Yeah I am stuck working nights since school is back in session (long story, but I have a project to finish at a middle school), but I have to use the schools internet and I’m afraid somebody is gonna think a teacher is trying to look up betting lines at 8:30pm. I hate firewalls.

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