If I Was a Betting Man: Week 7
by B Money on Oct 12, 2009 9:30 PM PDT
12 comments
After a long layoff due to some personal issues, I'm back with some picks. Go buy your Wife and/or Mistress something nice.
Picks after the jump.
Disclaimer: I am not a professional handicapper, I am merely a college football fan who happens to gamble. This is a weekly fanpost that I'll be trying to get out on Monday or Tuesday after most of the lines open for the weekends games. If you take my advice and place a bet, please don't come knocking on my door asking for your money back. I'll be long since passed out. Odds are that I also lost my money and drank copious amounts of beer to ease the pain.
The Locks:
Washington @ Arizona State (ASU by 6.5): The most improved team in the Country heads to the always tough Tempe to take on what could be one of the most disappointing teams in the Country. UW looked solid offensively against an underrated UA defense, and while they couldn't contain the screen they shut down the run game of one of the nations best backfields. ASU presents a different beast for the Huskies to battle...an anemic offense that managed to hang a whopping 27 points on a useless WSU defense. The Sun Devil's defense is chock full of talent, but has been a mix bag at best. Forcing 6 WSU turnovers is big time, but allowing nearly 250 Cougar passing yards is not. I like the Huskies to win straight up and I've already locked in a bet ATS and will be putting quite a few units on the straight up money line when it opens. Washington 28 ASU 17.
Boise State @ Tulsa (BSU by 9): The lines have been moving in Tulsa's favor since yesterday morning. I for one cannot possibly fathom why. Usually Tulsa sports a prolific offense capable of hanging 70 points on anyone on any given day. This year that is not the case as the Golden Cane's have managed 50 points just one time against perennial punching bag Sam Houston State. In their one game against a BCS opponent, the Cane's layed an egg to the tune of 0 points and just 270 yards of offense against an overrated Oklahoma team. In the Broncos one game against a BCS opponent they held the vaunted Oregon offense to just 152 yards and 8 points. Seems like the lock of the century if you ask me. Boise State 44 Tulsa 24.
The Likely:
Colorado State @ Texas Christian (TCU by 20.5): Colorado State, much like my beloved Huskies enter this game at 3-3 after losing 3 straight against teams with a combined 14-3. TCU should win this with a BCS quality defense and a newly found Offense, but CSU is being majorly overlooked here after hanging tough with #24 Utah (lost by 7) and 5-1 Idaho (lost by 2). I expect a big statement game from the Rams who are looking to go bowling with one of the tougher Mid Major schedules in the nation. TCU 40 CSU 35.
Last Week: Since I've been absent the last few weeks...Vinnie and the boys came knocking, we'll leave it at that...I'll start from the last column.
Straight up 3-0 (7-1 on the season). Against the Spread 2-1 (3-5 on the season).
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Where is my man Bix...
he’s a degenerate gambler like me…if you’re out there who do ya got?
by B Money on Oct 14, 2009 9:12 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Bix
I’d like to get his take on mid season for Sark and Company. I think he’s probably been busy at the Bama and $C boards.
Washington Husky Football-Undefeated 1991 National Champions 12-0!
by dawgfan22 on Oct 14, 2009 10:19 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
should have beat the spread on both...
but BSU played prevent and UW shat the bed…
by B Money on Oct 19, 2009 5:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hey B Money!
I went on a bit of a hiatus. I had a great man in my life pass away a few weeks ago, went to visit him a few days before his death, then. . . .had to go back to Texas to attend his wake/funeral. What was weird though, we had a “pre-wake” before he passed- his call. It was epic and a major tear jerker! I also had to cut short a trip out to Mississippi to visit with family because of it all. In short, I’ve been a pseudo-degenerate gambler. (and thank goodness, too! i’ve been losing my shirt!)
Oh how I ached this past weekend getting the ASU/Husky game through radio. I’m a wreck!
Tell you what, after the ND game- I’d say Boise, TCU, Bama, Gators, and Texas take it to the Trojans. We’ve looked atrocious. Even in winning.
This has been one up and down season. I’m still rooting for the Huskies! I’m not giving up, NO WAY!
Go Huskies!
Woooooooof!
(fwiw: I’m down $425 this year. i’m just stinking up the joint with my errant picks. and it’s all. . . . .out of love too! the worst way to bet, ain’t it?)
How you doin?
"As for being a Raiders fan, I wouldn't wish that fucking shit on anybody." [the venerable OTS at Roll Bama Roll}
by BixBeiderbecke on Oct 19, 2009 12:41 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I've been gone for much too long. . . .
. . . .I meant to write:
Go Dawgs!
WOOF!
(there! sheesh?)
"As for being a Raiders fan, I wouldn't wish that fucking shit on anybody." [the venerable OTS at Roll Bama Roll}
by BixBeiderbecke on Oct 19, 2009 12:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
for what it's worth?
It’s quite difficult to pick up tenor and inflection- the “sheesh?” is solely directed at myself and no one else. I’m poking fun at: because I haven’t commented here nor read much of John’s excellent analysis and commentary, I find it quite retarded of me to forget that it’s Go Dawgs (not Go Huskies). I’m still a wayward newbie in all this.
additional fwiw: I lost my “W” cap somewhere between Austin and Houston. I got a call from a very nice and incredibly gorgeous woman that I met at a bus stop in some random town outside of botanical gardens I visited one afternoon. She told me she “stole it from me” because I “connected the dots to the stars and stories” of her Texas night sky. (lemme tell you B Money. . . . that’s some bigass celestial horizon they got out there. It’s as if God sprinkled stars with the flick of his wrist and they continue to cascade in a dance as their light descends towards our eyes perception of them). She then told me that her brother came to pick her up for after-church lunch and quizzed her on her new/well-worn cap. She said, “I told him I fell madly in love with a Washington Husky renaissance-man.” (I never got around to telling her I’m a graduate of USC, we didn’t talk about our respective educations, we talked about Boaz, Wittgenstein, Dante, ee cummings, William Blake, and Euclid. Oh yeah, Obama, Netanyahu, Sarkozy (sp?) and his new wife, and Bernanke. Serious, she was chatty and only curious about my political and philosophical leanings)
And here I thought I left it in a mens’ room at some choke and puke off the highway? It smelled like motorcycle exhaust, sweat, and cheap hair gel. (reminds me, I gotta get a haircut sometime soon. It’s getting kinda- “Conan-esque” these days. Prolly movin’ on into Joey Ramone territory already? I gotta buy a brush too one of these days. Haven’t owned one for years!!!
Short of the long of it: is there a hat that just reads- “UDub”? I want one of those.
"As for being a Raiders fan, I wouldn't wish that fucking shit on anybody." [the venerable OTS at Roll Bama Roll}
by BixBeiderbecke on Oct 22, 2009 9:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You lead a crazy life my friend...
I couldn’t find anything with “U-Dub” but there is a whole mess of UW hats here.
Keep up with the excellent stories.
by B Money on Oct 23, 2009 10:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hit a random prop bet on Sunday Night Football
Johnny Knox to score the 1st TD at +1500. So that was nice.
Other than that…not great. BSU and UW both screwed the pooch and my Seahawks lost. So we’ll leave it at that. Sorry to hear about your loved one, come back and keep up with how much you’ve lost next week!
P.S. I’m only down $50 for the season so far, I had UW to cover and I had them at +190 on the money line straight up against ASU…ugh.
by B Money on Oct 19, 2009 5:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The spread
Has kicked my arse this whole entire season. Some bets I’ll go for the spread AND win. Sometimes, they’ll be incongruous to one another, depending? Usually, I try to make the bet work for me. This year. . . . . . .I suck. I suck big time and I majorly lost my mojo. I haven’t had a season of death bets like this since 2002. I’ve been on a total roll and I know, already. . . . I should just Kenny Rogers-it. (fold ’em)
It’s true. I’ve been betting my heart and hopes and. . . . . shouldn’t have broken up with that Australian girlfriend of mine. She was/is a total babe, loves me like no other, but is just too damn jealous. When we broke up, I was knee deep in celebrating a big time boxing win and she cursed me and my betting.
I still see her now and again. She always asks how “my wagering is going”. (weird? she doesn’t “disapprove”, she is just “overly invested” if you can pick up what I’m putting down- and now. . . . .I’m quite vexed by it all!!!!!!!)
"As for being a Raiders fan, I wouldn't wish that fucking shit on anybody." [the venerable OTS at Roll Bama Roll}
by BixBeiderbecke on Oct 19, 2009 8:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
My Wife deals with it...
I’m normally pretty good…and realistically I’m up about $200 across all sports since June when I picked up betting againt. I’ve hit some great parlays this year which have kept me down about $150 (instead of $300) since CFB season began. Between football seasons I stick to MMA and Boxing…and the occasional basketball game if I can get to the lines early after an injury report.
My Wife made the compromise that I get to bet sports and I’ll give up Poker (except the occasional weekend game amongst friends). Jealousy kills, I’m only 24 but I’ll be damned if I haven’t already had my fill of jealous women.
Do you live near a sportsbook or do you bet online? If online where do you bet? Oddsmaker.com has been giving me killer lines lately.
by B Money on Oct 19, 2009 9:37 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I've got a few, depending
oddmaker is a very good call, most of the time. betonline and sbgglobal have been very kind to me and have offered/given me premium accounts that make my wagering a more than just pleasurable experience (i.e. stays at hotels, and once a $500 chip voucher that I used to make over $2,000 in Las Vegas. albeit, it was an epic weekend that turned into a 5-day stay. but WOW did I have fun on that one. it was the Pacquiao/Hatton fight weekend. won ALL SORTS on that trip)
"As for being a Raiders fan, I wouldn't wish that fucking shit on anybody." [the venerable OTS at Roll Bama Roll}
by BixBeiderbecke on Oct 20, 2009 10:51 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
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